Bet Marlins +170 over Rays for MLB Picks

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, June 4, 2014 2:06 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jun. 4, 2014 2:06 PM GMT

Our sports betting guru Ross Benjamin breaks down tonight's Interleague game between Miami and Tampa Bay. Read his informative MLB preview article which concludes with his free pick in this contest.

Battle of Florida Continues Tonight
The Rays will host the Marlins on Wednesday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida with the first pitch coming at 7:10 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds the Rays are a -180 money line home favorite and the posted total is 7.0. This will be the 3rd of a 4-game Interleague series between these in state rivals. The Marlins took the first 2-games in Miami by winning 3-1 on Monday, and 1-0 last night. Despite those recent two losses versus the Marlins, the Rays have gone 9-3 over the last 3 seasons when these teams have met, including 4-1 at Tropicana Field.

[gameodds]3/287135/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

The Starting Pitchers
The Rays will send their ace David Price to the hill tonight. Price has had a disappointing start to the season by his standards. The southpaw has a 4.27 ERA in 12 starts this season, and an even higher 5.13 ERA in his 6 starts at home. Price has seen 15 of his 20 starts go over the total during the last 2 seasons when installed as a money line favorite of -125 to -175.

The Marlins will counter with right-hander Tom Koehler on the mound. Koehler has been solid in 11 starts this season posting a stellar 3.18 ERA. 

 

Rays are Reeling
The Tampa Bay Rays entered this season with high expectations, and as a very confident ball club. However, early returns have shown them to be a huge bust so far. Currently the Rays are in last place in the AL East, and find themselves a distant 12.0 games behind the division leading Toronto Blue Jays. The Rays enter tonight having lost their last 8-games in a row. They've scored 2-runs or less in each of their previous 6-games, and have scored a combined 6-runs over their last 7-games.

 

Early Surprise in the National League
I know it's way too early in the season to draw any conclusions, or to get overly enamored with any team's start to the year. Having said that, I don't think many people out there would've predicted the Marlins to be in 2nd place in the NL East, 1.5 games out of first place, and after having played 58-games. Miami has been especially tough at home this season going 22-11 in their friendly confines, but has gone a dismal 8-17 on the road. The bad news for the Marlins is that they enter tonight having hit a paltry .217 as a team over their previous 5-games. The good news is that they've gone an excellent 11-1 this season after hitting .225 or less as a team in their previous 5.

 

MLB. Betting System
Any money line road underdog of +100 or more that has a winning record on the year, versus an opponent that's lost 5 or more games in a row, and they have a winning percentage of .380 to .460, has gone 50-26 (65.8%) during the last 17 seasons. Bet the Miami Marlins to go +170 over Tampa!

Free Pick: Marlins +170 over the Rays

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