Bet Marlins +120 vs. Giants in Game 1

Jeff Grant

Thursday, May 15, 2014 1:59 PM GMT

Thursday, May. 15, 2014 1:59 PM GMT

Matt Cain has been overvalued when pitching at home for a couple seasons, which makes the Miami Marlins a dangerous road underdog against the San Francisco Giants Thursday night.

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this National League showdown at AT&T Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET.

[gameodds]3/264072/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Loving the Bay Area
Miami has the worst road record in the Majors entering tonight’s action, but the club has garnered a remarkable 12-3 mark in its last 15 games at this ballpark.

The Marlins will be led offensively by outfielder Giancarlo Stanton, who is batting .337 with eight home runs and 20 RBIs in his career against the Giants.

MLB handicappers will find that the club is 11-12 versus teams with a winning record during the 2014 campaign.

 

Taking care of business
San Francisco improved to 12-6 at home this season by capturing two of three games against the Atlanta Braves earlier this week, while its bullpen has registered a remarkable 0.94 ERA in front of its loyal fan base.

Giants outfielder Hunter Pence is hitting .348 over his last 22 games, which is a big reason why he’s scored a team-leading 29 runs on the year.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 35-24 as favorites of -125 to -150 at this venue, with the OVER going 27-26-6 in that situation.

 

Eovaldi
Marlins starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi (2-1, 2.86 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 9-3 setback on the road to the San Diego Padres in his last trip to the mound, as he gave up two runs and seven hits over five frames.

The flame-throwing right-hander has compiled a 3.12 ERA in three efforts away from home—issuing five walks and striking out 15 batters in 17.1 combined innings.

In three lifetime appearances versus the Giants, Eovaldi has gone 1-2 with a 12.21 ERA, including a 1-1 mark and 8.18 ERA in three outings at this ballpark.

Take a Look at Thursday's Top MLB Picks of the Day!

Cain
Giants starting pitcher Matt Cain (0-3, 4.25 ERA) was reinstated off the disabled list last Saturday, but he didn’t factor into the decision in a 6-2 road defeat to the Los Angeles Dodgers—allowing two runs and three hits over five innings of work.

The right-hander will be making just his second home appearance of the season, while he’s amassed a 51-47 record and 3.14 ERA in 139 career outings in that situation.

Cain went 1-1 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts versus the Marlins in 2013, but he’s lost each of his last three home efforts in the series.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Marlins as one of their MLB picks, as the Giants have gone 1-10 in Cain’s last 11 home starts.

MLB Pick:  Miami Marlins +120

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