Bet Mariners on Run-Line in Series Opener Against Red Sox

Ross Benjamin

Friday, August 22, 2014 12:13 PM GMT

Can the Red Sox somehow come up with a miraculous effort tonight versus the red-hot Mariners with their ace Felix Hernandez on the mound? Read our revealing betting article on this game which is concluded with a MLB free pick.

The “New Kid on the Block” versus the “Has Been”
The Red Sox will host the Mariners tonight at Fenway Park in Boston with the first pitch slated for 7:10 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds the Mariners are a -160 money line road favorite and the posted total is 7.0. The Mariner are -1.5 (-115) and the Red Sox are +1.5 (-105) on the run-line. Boston has gone 29-10 in their last 39 home games versus Seattle. These teams have seen just 1 of their last 12 meetings stay under the total.

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Frontrunner for the AL Cy Young Award
If the season were to end today, it would be hard to argue if Felix Hernandez was awarded the AL Cy Young Award. He’s gone 17-9 against the money with a 1.99 ERA, a 0.87 WHIP, and a better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s also the ace of a ball club that’s developed into a surprise contender for an AL Wild Card berth. “King Felix” has seen just 1 of his last 9-starts go over the total, and he’s certainly been instrumental in those low scoring affairs by posting a 1.52 ERA. Since the start of the 2012, the Mariners hurler has gone 3-1 against the money versus the Red Sox with a sparkling 1.50 ERA.

 

Building for the Future
The Red Sox traded away both veteran starters Jon Lester and John Lackey at this year’s trade deadline. One of the players they received in return was 24-year old right-handed hurler Joe Kelly. The youngster showed a world of promise in 2013 as a member of the St. Louis Cardinals going 10-5 with a stellar 2.69 ERA. In 3-starts for the Red Sox since the trade, he’s struggled a bit with a 5.29 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. However, his ERA and WHIP were inflated in his last outing versus the Houston Astros, when he allowed 7 earned runs, 7-hits, and walked 6 in just 4.0 innings of work. This will be his first career start versus the Mariners.

 

A Team on the Rise
Since May 31st the Mariners have gone 42-29 (.592) and catapulted themselves into a legitimate playoff contender. As a matter of fact, they enter into this weekend series having won 11 of their last 15 overall. Seattle has been one of the top money makers in all of baseball on the road. They’ve gone 34-26 on the road, and have made an outstanding 13.00 units against the money line. The Mariners are led by a pitching staff that is the best in baseball with a 2.96 team ERA.

 

Déjà Vu from 2012 All Over Again
This season brings back bad memories from just 2-seasons ago for the Red Sox organization and their fans. Boston won the 2011 World Series, only to follow that up in 2012 by finishing dead least in the AL East. Well this season has been eerily similar. They won the World Series in 2013, and now find themselves in last place in the AL East with September quickly approaching. The Red Sox have gone a dismal 29-36 at Fenway Park this year, and have lost a whopping -18.80 units against the money line in doing so.

 

Final Analysis
The Mariners have a huge edge in the starting pitching department in this one, as well as having one of the best bullpens in all of baseball. The Red Sox are reeling, and pretty much playing out the proverbial string to the 2014 season. The Mariners are surging, and have their eye on the prize.

Free MLB Pick: Seattle -1.5 (-115) over Boston on the Run-Line at Bet365