Bet Mariners -125 over Royals for MLB Picks

Joe Catalano

Sunday, May 11, 2014 3:26 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 11, 2014 3:26 PM UTC

After an easy 3-1 victory yesterday, the Seattle Mariners (19-17) host the Kansas City Royals (17-19) in the rubber match of this series. The pitching is merely average and the determining factor should be K.C.’s ability to get on base vs. Seattle’s power. See who we like as our betting pick.

First pitch is set for 4:10 pm ET today at Safeco Field in Seattle, Washington. This game can be seen on MLB TV.

5 Dimes Sportsbook have the Mariners as a -125 betting favorite and the total for the ball game is 7 runs.


A Replay of Yesterday?
The odds appeared to be a bit off yesterday as K.C. was the betting favorite, but had went just as I had planned. Kansas City has an average offense with no power led by Eric Hosmer. Hosmer was left hitless in yesterday’s ball game and nobody picked him up in the Mariners 3-1 victory.

Seattle pulled out the game with their power in the form of a Justin Smoak 2 run home run in the 4th inning. Unless Felix Hernandez is pitching, that’s how most of these matchups will play out, depending on which team is carrying the hot stick.

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Guthrie vs. Elias
A pitching matchup of Roenis Elias (3-2, 3.27) of the Mariners vs. Jeremy Guthrie (2-2, 3.91) of the Royals can possibly present another low scoring affair as both starters have pitched consistently well.

Guthrie won’t strike out a lot of batters, but is coming off of a huge performance in which he allowed just 1 run and 4 hits in  8 innings pitched to the San Diego Padres.

Unfortunately for him, he pitches on a team with a weak offensive lineup and got a no-decision. Guthrie can be a bit inconsistent at times, but won’t allow more than 4 runs in a ball game and will at least keep the Royals in the game.

Where Roenis Elias is concerned, this is his first season in the majors and he’s managed to do quite well for himself. He’s made 7 starts and has went at least 5 innings in each of the 7 starts while not allowing more than 3 runs in 6 of the 7 starts. This game should be tight and will come down to which offense is more effective?


Lack of Hitting
I’ve run up and down these lineups and before yesterday, Eric Hosmer was the only player that you can say has been hitting consistently well as he was 6 for 12 before his hitless game yesterday.

As stated earlier, Kansas City lacks power and Seattle has a major advantage as guys like Justin Smoak, Kyle Seager, or Corey Hart can change the complexion of the game with just one swing of the bat.

The Mariners also possess the best overall player in this game by far in Robinson Cano. Cano  was 2 for 3 yesterday and approaching .300, but has lacked the power that he showed with the Yankees.

On the season, Cano has just 1 home run. With that said, it’s early and Cano could start being a “game-changer”at any time.


This is a tough ball game, but we’re going to have to give the nod to Seattle again. Kansas City’s offense looked close to dead yesterday and if Roenis Elias pitches another strong ball game at home, this game is Seattle’s for the taking.

MLB Pick: Seattle -125 at 5 Dimes

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