Bet the Low Total for Yankees vs. Orioles Series Opener

Willie Bee

Monday, August 11, 2014 12:16 PM GMT

Matchup No. 2,118 in the Orioles-Yankees rivalry begins a 3-game set in Baltimore on Monday, and SBR will have analysis plus free baseball picks for each battle.

An opportunity to climb back into the AL East race awaits the New York Yankees the next few days. The Baltimore Orioles hope to squash those hopes, however, and add to their advantage atop the standings.

The clubs get their series underway Monday at Camden Yards where Chris Capuano takes on Bud Norris in the 7:05 PM (ET) clash. Norris and the O's are favored in the -130s on the moneyline, SBR's live baseball odds showing a unanimous 8.5 for the total.

The fourth series meeting of the year between the longtime foes, and second in Baltimore, finds the Orioles up six games to three after taking each of the three prior sets 2-1. It's the first get-together since just before the all-star break when 'under' bettors cashed twice along with Bird backers.

In fact, betting the 'under' has been a money-making choice all season with six of the nine falling short of the total. The only real offensive explosion produced by the two teams came during the set that took place to begin the 2nd full week of the 2014 baseball betting schedule, Game 2 of that series ending with a 14-5 Baltimore victory.

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Yanks Hit Road For Big 6-Game Trip
What started as a nice homestand for New York (61-56, -0.8 units, 49-66-2 O/U/P) fizzled this past weekend with a pair of losses to the Indians. The Yankees were on a roll before the Saturday and Sunday setbacks, winning six of their previous seven.

After being used entirely out of the Red Sox bullpen earlier this season, Capuano has been back to his usual starting role since the Yankees bought him from the Rockies in early July. Colorado claimed the old Duke star off waivers and was already conditioning him as a starter in the minors before the cash deal with New York, and Capuano has been solid in that role with the Yankees who simply haven't given him much bullpen or offensive support.

Capuano faced the O's three times out of Boston's bullpen earlier this campaign, but Monday will be his career cherry vs. Baltimore in a starting role.

 

O's Enjoying August, Begin Week 5 Ahead Of Jays
Baltimore (67-50, +22.1 units, 52-63-2 O/U/P) wasn't able to pull off a sweep of the Cardinals on Sunday, but the Orioles can't complain much having won seven of 10 in August. They have been one of the hottest teams going since the break, coming out on top in 15 of 23 and winning six of their seven series in that span to build the largest lead in any division.

It's nothing to really write home about, but 2014 has still been a pretty good year up to now for Norris. He had a rough stretch from mid-May to early-June, pitching to a 5.06 ERA over a 5-start span, and the O's only managed to win one of his four July assignments, but backing Norris all season has put close to $4 into sportsbook accounts.

Norris has a nifty 2.47 ERA in eight home starts (Orioles 5-3), and was very effective against the Yankees in New York on June 21, getting through five innings with only three hits and a run allowed to win as a small road pup.

Charm City is going to get some rain at some point over the next couple of days, and it could begin towards the end of tonight's contest.  Cloudy skies, muggy temps in the upper-70s and a 7-10 mph SE breeze (out to left) are forecast for Monday's first pitch.

Oriole Park is generally regarded as a hitter-friendly stadium, but I'm going to back the hurlers on Monday with a free MLB pick on the low side of the total.

MLB Pick: Yankees-Orioles Under 8.5 (-110)

Season: 98-102 (-5.00)