Bet the Home Team in Cardinals vs. Padres MLB Game

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, July 29, 2014 12:58 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 29, 2014 12:58 PM UTC

The Padres return home to face the Cardinals tonight, and Ross Benjamin gives you his revealing details, and is concluded with a MLB pick on the winning side. Read what this MLB betting odds guru has to say regarding what side the betting value favors.

Series Opener for Cards/Padres
The Padres will host the Cardinals tonight at Petco Park in San Diego with the first pitch slated for 10:10 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds the Padres are a -110 money line home favorite and the posted total is 6.0. This will be the first meeting between these teams in 2014.

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Unheralded Padres Hurler
San Diego will go with right-hander Tyson Ross on the hill tonight. Ross has quietly put up some pretty impressive numbers in 2014. In 22-starts overall he’s posted a stellar 2.65 ERA, and only 5 of those games have gone over the total. He’s been even better than that in 11-starts at Petco Park, posting an excellent 1.89 ERA, and just 1 of those contests have gone over the total. Ross has seen 10 of his last 11-starts overall go under the total. He’s displayed superb form over his last 7-starts by posting a 1.47 ERA, a 0.86 WHIP, and an almost 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio.


Stellar Recent Form from Lynn
The Cardinals will counter with right-hander Lance Lynn, and he’s been nothing short of terrific over his last 4-starts. Each of those 4-outings has gone under the total, with Lynn posting an outstanding 1.75 ERA. As a matter of fact, Lynn has seen 8 of the last 9, and 10 of his last 12-starts stay under the total. He’s gone 13-8 against the money this season with a solid 3.08 ERA, and has shown a profit of +3.8 MLB betting units.


Padres Holding Serve at Home
San Diego has gone an awful 20-33 on the road this season, but has held their own at home by going 26-26. They continue to be the worst hitting team in baseball by hitting a paltry .219 for the season, and they’ve seen just 34 of their first 105-games (32.4%) go over the total. However, they’ve seen just 1 of their last 6-games stay under the number. The pitching has been superb for San Diego all season long and has allowed them to stay at least competitive. Opponents have hit a mere .216 versus Padres pitching at Petco Park this season. The Padres bullpen is one of the best in all of baseball posting an excellent staff ERA of 2.62, and has converted on a rare 86.7% of their save opportunities.


Final Analysis
The Padres are coming off a 2-0 loss at Atlanta in their previous game. The Cardinals last game was a 1-0 win at Wrigley Field on Sunday. This sets up a very profitable money line betting system. Any home team that’s -125 to +125 on the money line, and is coming off a loss by 2-runs or less, versus an opponent that scored 1-run or less in their previous game, has gone 62-31 (66.7%) during the last 5-seasons.
Free Pick: San Diego -110 over St. Louis

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