Bet Giants -135 Over Diamondbacks for Today's MLB Picks

Ross Benjamin

Monday, September 15, 2014 12:28 PM GMT

Our MLB betting odds guru examines tonight’s game between San Francisco/Arizona. Read his revealing sports handicapping article regarding this matchup which concludes with a money line MLB free pick.

An NL West Battle in the Desert
The Diamondbacks will host the Giants on Monday with the first pitch slated for 9:40 PM ET. According to MLB odds, the Giants are a -135 money line road favorite, and the posted total is 8.0. The Giants have won 11 of the 16 meeting between these teams in 2014, and have gone 16-9 at Arizona during the past 3-seasons.

 

The Skinny on the Starting Hurlers
The Giants will send right-hander Ryan Vogelsong to the mound tonight. The veteran pitcher has been a bit shaky in 14 road starts this season with a lofty 5.11 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. He’s been prone to giving up the long ball on the road in 2014, allowing 15 home runs in 74.0 innings pitched, which equates to 1 per 4.9 innings. Vogelsong has gone 2-2 against the money versus Arizona this season with a 3.91 ERA.

The Diamondbacks southpaw Wade Miley has really struggled at home this season. He’s gone 5-8 against the money at home with a terrible 6.13 ERA. Miley has gone 0-7 in his last 7-starts against the money, with a 4.81 ERA, and all 7 of those games went under the total. Arizona has scored a grand total of 9-runs in those 7-games. Miley has gone 2-1 against the money versus the Giants in 2014 with a 3.94 ERA.

 

Giants off an Intense Series
The Giants just completed a 3-game weekend series versus the NL West leading Dodgers. After winning the series opener to close within 1.0 game of the division lead, they dropped the last 2-games of the series, and now have their work cut out for them with just 12-games left to play if they hope to win the NL West. On a positive note, barring a monumental collapse they will be a wild card team at the very worst, and are in a good position to host that 1-game playoff if that ends up being their fate.

 

Counting the Days to the End
The season can’t end soon enough for the Arizona Diamondbacks. Despite winning their last 2-games, they enter this series with a miserable record of 61-88 record. They also have the worst run differential in the National League this season at -109.

 

Final Analysis
The Giants have been solid on the road this season going 40-32, and have a lot to play for in their final 12 regular season games. The Diamondbacks have had their troubles versus the Giants in 2014, and their starting pitcher has been awful at home. My lean here for my MLB pick goes to the more motivated club.

Free MLB Pick: Giants -135 over the Diamondbacks.

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