Bet Dodgers Run-Line Over Padres in Series Finale

Darin Zank

Thursday, August 21, 2014 2:00 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 21, 2014 2:00 PM UTC

San Diego grabbed Game 2 of this series Wednesday night 4-1, giving us an underdog winner with our free MLB pick. We'll try to do it again on the rubber match of this series Thursday night (10:10 pm ET).

Thursday Betting Odds
As of early Thursday AM the best MLB odds we could find on LA and Clay Kershaw was the -161 offered at Heritage, while San Diego and Tyson Ross could be found at +157 at 5Dimes. And the total on Thursday's game sat at 6.5 runs.

Wednesday Re-Hash
One night after rapping out 14 hits San Diego rapped out 11 more, throwing a three-spot on the board in the second inning. The Padres then got five good innings from starter Eric Stults and four shutout frames from the bullpen for a 4-1 victory.

The Pads, to our delight, cashed in as dogs of +130, and the game stayed 'under' its total of 7.5 runs.

On a personnel note, San Diego OF Cameron Maybin got in as a defensive replacement Wednesday night in his first action off that 25-game suspension. He could add a little boost to the Padres lineup. Maybe not today, but down the line.

Thursday's Starters
Kershaw (14-3, 1.86) is a nifty 18/20 on quality starts this year, running on a string of 12 in a row. Last time out he gave up three runs in nine innings against Milwaukee, and since the All-Star break he's given up 10 ER through 49 innings.

For the season the already two-time Cy Young winner has allowed just 103 hits in 145 innings, walked just 19 and whiffed 174. LA is 16-4 in Kershaw's starts, with the totals leaning toward the 'unders' by an 11-8 margin.

Kershaw has started once against the Pads this season, giving up one run and three hits through nine innings of a 2-1 Los Angeles victory back on July 10.

Read what our Daily Pitching Report has to say about this matchup!

Ross (11-11, 2.70) is 18/26 on quality starts, and 10 for his last 11. Last time out he gave up three runs in six innings against St. Louis, and since the All-Star break he's held foes to nine ER through 37 innings.

On the season Ross has allowed fewer hits, 139, than IP, 167, walked 60, which is a bit too many, and struck out 162. San Diego is 13-13 in games Ross has started, with the totals skewing 'under' 18-7.

Ross has started three times against the Dodgers this season, allowing six ER and 17 hits through 19 innings; the Padres lost all three of those games, and all three played 'under.'

Free Pick for Thursday
The Dodgers have won 16 of Kershaw's 20 starts this season, 11 times by at least two runs. So we'll take a chance and go with LA on the run line, getting +125 at BetOnline, for our free MLB pick on Thursday's series finale.  

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