Bet Dodgers & Brewers to go 'Over' 8.5 Friday

Willie Bee

Thursday, August 7, 2014 10:40 PM GMT

Fresh off 3-straight wins over the Angels, the Dodgers head to Milwaukee to take on the Brewers, and SBR will preview the weekend MLB odds set between the division leaders.

*PITCHING UPDATE*

The Dodgers have decided to send Roberto Hernandez to the mound for his LA debut. Scheduled starter, Josh Beckett, will no longer be a factor in this matchup and could change this pick. For an updated preview of this match please click on the following link.
 

MLB Picks: Dodgers vs. Brewers

*ORIGINAL ARTICLE*

Once again, we are staring at a potential playoff preview -- perhaps even this year's NLCS -- when the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Milwaukee Brewers for the weekend.  And the cool thing is we get to see this battle twice over the next 10 days with the Brewers scheduled to visit LA next weekend.

 

This set gets underway Friday (8:10 PM ET), and the Dodgers are reworking their rotation to throw a little wrench in the initial works.  MLB odds originally went out with expectations of Josh Beckett facing Kyle Lohse in Game 1, but Los Angeles will instead send Roberto Hernandez to the mound in Beckett's place.  Bettors are advised to keep an eye on SBR's live baseball odds for the updated betting numbers later this morning.

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The first meeting between the clubs this season finds the Dodgers holding a 62-42 all-time advantage, that total split evenly between the two cities, 31-21.  Los Angeles won four of the six played last season, taking two of three in each series, after the Brewers had won the previous two season clashes (10-3).  It has been more than 14 months since the clubs met for final time in 2013, that series taking place in Miller Park where LA is 23-16 following its opening in 2001.  'Under' bettors were also rewarded twice in the Milwaukee set a year ago, leaving the low side of the total 8-2 over the last 10 contests.

 

Hernandez Gets Quick Chance To Help Dodgers
Los Angeles (66-50, +2.8 units, 53-57-6 O/U/P) got this 9-game roadie started in fine fashion by taking the final three of a 4-game series from the Angels, the last two in Anaheim.  The next 10 days will be among the toughest on the rest of the Dodgers' schedule with two series vs. Milwaukee sandwiching a 4-game set in Atlanta.

Beckett struggled in his return from the DL the past couple of weeks, prompting a new exam on his ailing hip and likely revisit to the list of walking wounded.  And that prompted LA to go looking for more pitching depth where Hernandez was available from the Phillies in a swap on Thursday.  It was originally thought he might pitch in relief to begin his Dodger career, but the righthander will instead jump right into the fire.

Hernandez made 20 starts for the Phillies -- along with 3 relief appearances -- and Philadelphia won nine of those assignments.  He saw the Brewers twice along the way, losing the initial outing in Philadelphia (5 IP, 3 ER) before turning in a masterful performance about a month ago at Miller Park with eight innings of 3-hit, 1-run baseball.

 

Lohse Eyes 12th Win Of Campaign
Nursing a slim 1-game lead over St. Louis in the NL Central, Milwaukee (63-52, +5.8 units, 57-55-3 O/U/P) continues to be among the surprise teams after entering 2014 as 30/1 long shots to win the Senior Circuit.  The Brewers just opened their homestand by taking two of three from the Giants, and rank second in National League averaging 4.3 runs per game.

Lohse has dropped his last two assignments, laying a real egg last Saturday in St. Louis where the Redbirds reached him for nine runs (7 earned) in just four frames.  Still, the California native has done a good job overall putting money into baseball bettors pockets, Milwaukee winning 15 of his 21 outings for 6.9 units of profit.

Three of his Lohse's last five clashes with the Dodgers have gone in the quality start column, and he stands 1-2 in those appearances with a 5.10 ERA thanks to taking a hard beating in one of the contests.

Miller Park's roof should be open all weekend as the forecast is for mostly clear skies and mild temps.  Friday's opener calls for a 72º thermometer reading at first pitch with a light NE breeze (3B to RF foul pole).

Like everyone else, I'll have to wait on the official MLB odds to be released.  My guess is we should see a total around 8 to 8.5, and my initial lean for a free MLB pick is to the high side of that figure.

My pick: Lean Over 8.5 at Bet365

Season: 97-100 (-4.00)