Bet on Desperate Mariners to Win Today vs. Road Angels

Doug Upstone

Saturday, September 27, 2014 1:37 PM GMT

Saturday, Sep. 27, 2014 1:37 PM GMT

The hardest aspect for those making sports picks of this contest is to determine mental outlook and how that could play out. Sportsbooks can guess also, but have to rely more on the numbers. 

The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim begin final preparation for the postseason and while it is not imperative they win, they want to stay mentally sharp.

Seattle on the other hand is all but eliminated from the postseason by losing nine of 14 and needs to win their last two games and have Oakland lose their final two to tie them.

 

Pitching Matchup for Saturday
C.J. Wilson (13-10, 4.61 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) looks to finish the regular season strong after struggling against the A's on Monday, when he walked four batters, gave up six runs (four earned) and recorded only two outs. In his prior start, Wilson pitched seven scoreless innings against Seattle, fanning seven and permitting only one hit. Manager Mike Scioscia would sure be pleased if Wilson reverted back to prior form against Seattle, building confidence for the postseason. Lifetime, Wilson is 10-6 with 3.23 ERA as a starting pitcher vs. Seattle.

Seattle rookie hurler James Paxton (6-4, 3.16, 1.20) had first really negative outing in 16 MLB starts when he gave up nine runs (eight earned) on seven hits with six walks in 2 2/3 innings in Toronto on Monday. The lefthander has a mid to upper 90’s heater and most baseball handicappers are impressed with his improving curveball. What scouts wonder is if the 25-year old can develop his changeup, which could be the difference between being a top of the rotation guy or strictly back end. Paxton is 2-1, 2.89 ERA in three starts against the Angels this year.

 

Angels Not Taking it Easy
With the kind of season the Halos have enjoyed, the last thing they want to do is lose momentum. Los Angeles will end the season with the best record in baseball and the absolute last thing they want to see happen is to be satisfied after 162 games and lose in the first round of the playoffs.

While all the regulars will not be in the lineup tonight, expectations will still be high to find a way to win this contest, in similar fashion like taking the recently completed series at Oakland. It would seem those making MLB picks against the betting odds can at least trust the Angels to provide the effort.

 

Sleepless Night Ahead for Seattle
It has to tear into the hearts of Mariners players if they come up short of making the playoffs. Seattle has been a strong team all year and will have the fourth or fifth best run differential in the American League. And for more than 80 percent of the year they were one of the best road teams and wagers in all of baseball. Yet, they suffered a crippling 4-7 road trip at the worst time and now need a miracle.

What has to hurt is the reliable pitching has not done the job at crunch time and a trifling offense was unable to pick up the slack.

 

Head to Head Combat and Betting Odds
Against the MLB odds Seattle has been the choice with a 10-7 record overall against Anaheim and a 4-3 mark at Safeco Field. The total has come in a 9-7-1 'over' on the season.

As of first thing this morning, there was no official line on the game and based on player availability, my best guess would have the Mariners in the -110 to -115 range on the money line.

 

The Winner Is….
Because nobody as this time knows who will start for the Angels and Seattle having to win to keep a glimmer of hope alive, I’ll side with the more desperate team to win and make the Mariners the call.

MLB Free Picks: Bet Seattle wins at YouWager

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