Get ready for a stellar MLB pick for today, as a 65% situational play is joined by the better fundamentals for this Top Rated MLB Playoff Winner from Joe Gavazzi.
San Francisco got to St. Louis starter, Lackey, for 4 runs in the 1st inning in last night's game. Then, they held off the Cards for a 5-4 victory and 2-1 lead in this best of 7 NLCS championship series. Remember that St. Louis already has motivation from the 2012 playoff series between these teams in which the Cards visited the Bay Area with a 3-2 series lead, only to be swept by the Giants, who carried that momentum into the World Series title. Tonight, we will come right back with St. Louis off that defeat. St. Louis has been the most resilient team in MLB since the start of the 2013 season. That includes a record of 91-49, following a defeat, 46-29 TY. The Giants still may not have much confidence on this field, where they have gone just 24-28, following their 22-9 start.
As always, the starting pitchers are a key component to this handicap. Vogelsong is simply not to be trusted in this spot. Credit is given for his playoff outing vs. Washington. It was a 3-2 San Fran victory, in which Vogelsong worked 5 2/3 IP, allowing 1 run on 2 hits. Prior to that, however, the Giants had lost their 3 previous starts, in which he allowed 12 runs in only 16 IP. A poor history vs. St. Louis seals the deal against the Giants’ starter. In 9 lifetime outings against St. Louis, Vogelsong has a 6.17 ERA in 65 2/3 IP.
Far prefer the current form and history of Miller in this situation. St. Louis has won 5/6 recent Miller starts. In that timeframe, Miller has worked 36 IP, allowing only 8 runs on 26 hits. Miller worked 5 2/3 IP in a 3-2 victory over the Dodgers in this year’s playoffs. He allowed just 2 runs on 5 hits. With a strong history against San Fran, look for Miller to pitch well tonight. In a pair of starts against the Giants, Miller has worked 12 1/3 IP with a 1.46 ERA.
There are enough factors pointing toward St. Louis in this game to make them a higher percentage of bankroll play. In St. Louis, we have the most resilient team in baseball, playing off a loss. On the mound, our pitcher has the better current form and history. At a pick ‘em price, place your MLB pick tonight on St. Louis evening the series at 2 games apiece.
Free MLB Pick: Bet Cardinals at The Greek