St. Louis can be backed at anywhere from -130 to -140, while Cincinnati is a home underdog in the +125 area.
After opening at 6.5 runs, there's been quite a bit of action on the 'over' and now the number can be found at 7. We saw eight total runs in the first game of the series and nine in yesterday's matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals (Wainwright)
It was only a matter of time before the Cardinals started to figure it out and put it all together. They've been playing as well as anyone in baseball lately, winning four of five and eight of their last ten.
This positive run has St. Louis to within a game and a half of Milwaukee in the NL Central. That being said, while the Cardinals have been great at Busch Stadium (14-7), they've had a tough time on the road where they're 13-15 heading into tonight.
The good news? Adam Wainwright's pitching tonight, and he's been terrific.
Wainwright is 7-2 with a 1.85 ERA and 0.86 WHIP and is coming off his best game of the season five days ago. He pitched a one hitter at home against Arizona, walking none and striking out nine in a 5-0 victory.
Though St. Louis as a team has struggled on the road, Wainwright hasn't. He's gone 4-2 with a 1.88 ERA in six road starts. The right-hander has also already dominated Cincinnati in 2014, holding them to three hits and zero earned runs in seven innings back in March.
Cincinnati Reds (Leake)
The Reds just can't seem to piece together a legitimate winning streak these days. You'd have to go back to last month to find the last time they won more than two games in a row.
It's been more of the same in this series with their division rivals as well. Cincinnati opened with a 5-3 win over Shelby Miller and company, but couldn't keep it going in a 6-3 loss yesterday. Tony Cingrani wasn't at his best and the Cardinals took advantage.
Now it's Mike Leake's turn in the rotation. We really like what we've seen out of the right-hander this season, as he's 2-3 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.
Consistency has been the name of the game for Leake, who's allowed four or fewer earned runs in all nine of his starts thus far. He's been particularly good over the last few weeks, surrendering a measly six earned runs over his last 29 and 2/3 innings of work.
As for Cincinnati's offense, they hadn't been doing too well regardless, but the injury to slugger Joey Votto has been a significant blow. The only player hitting over .300 for the Reds is Devin Mesoraco, and he's only played in 20 games this season.
The Cardinals are playing well right now and we like the chances of them winning this game and subsequently coming out as 2-1 victors in the series.
Wainwright has shaken off a bad start to look dominant over the last few weeks and we think he can continue that against a Cincinnati team he's already shut down once this season.
With that said, let's add the Cardinals to our collection of MLB picks for Sunday. We also have a small lean on the 'under' in what we expect to be a pitchers duel.
MLB Free Pick: Cardinals -131 (and lean on 'under')