Bet Cardinals -125 Over Padres as St. Louis Bounces Back After Poor Outtings

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, July 2, 2015 12:53 PM GMT

Padres travel to meet the Cardinals and I'm here to analyze what's the best way to cash in with this matchup. Everything points to a big time bounce back blowout by best in bigs! 

San Diego Padres (Ross) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (Cooney)  7:15 ET
The San Diego Padres travel 2 time zones east for a 7:15 ET start, after their 7-0 home loss to Seattle yesterday afternoon.  The Cards look to bounce back big, after dropping a pair of decisions to CWS, the worst team in the American League. 

As we enter MLB play for Thursday, July 2nd, only the St. Louis Cardinals at 51-26 (.662) have a W/L percentage of greater than .600.  Are the back-to-back home losses to the poor traveling White Sox the beginning of an adjustment, as the Cards return to the pack or does the most resilient team in baseball, bounce back big on a strong home field against a San Diego team whose OPS rating clearly indicate the continued demise?  That is the handicapper’s conundrum in today’s matchup.

The Padres are on an 8-15 slide, including 5-9 since Murphy replaced Black as manager.  They enter on a 0-3 slide, including yesterday’s home loss by a score of 7-0 to Seattle.  In fact, the Mariners won both games in the early week series by a combined 12-0 score.  That’s negative momentum for a San Diego team, whose demise was predicted by their No. 25 batting OPS and No. 26 pitching OPS of early June.  That predictive model has clearly been right on again this season.  San Diego starter, Ross, has pitched well in his last 7 starts, allowing less than or equal to 2 earned runs in 6/7.  But, the 1.46 road WHIP is dangerously close to a pure fade.

Will the Cards return to the pack, as they hold a 7-game lead on the Pirates in the NL Central and are 6 games better than the KC Royals (the best team in the American League)?  That could well happen, especially with today’s projected starter, Garcia (groin) being replaced by Cooney, who is making just his 2nd big league start.  But it has been over a decade since author Eckhart Tolle popularized present moment, now thinking, in his popular works “The Power of Now” and “A New Earth.”  This thinking has been used with great success by an increasing percentage of the population, as well as many professional sports teams. But few do it as well, as St. Louis Manager, Mike Matheny, who breaks down the power of now thinking to an every pitch philosophy.  One can hardly argue with the results.  Despite the consecutive home losses, the Cards remain an MLB best 29-9 on this field and 24-10 on the run.  Most impressive is a 3-year mark of 111-62 following a defeat, proving they are MLBs most resilient team.  Maybe they will do a bit better than 0-16 with RISP the last two nights!  Since pitching in the bigs, Cooney has made 11 AAA starts with a 2.52 ERA.  If Matheny can work his magic with Cooney’s mental, there is little doubt he will control the weak hitting bats of the Padres.

MLB Pick: Take St. Louis Cardinals -125 at BetOnline