Bet Braves -130 vs. Marlins for MLB Picks

Jeff Grant

Thursday, May 1, 2014 1:24 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 1, 2014 1:24 PM UTC

Henderson Alvarez had all kinds of trouble against the Atlanta Braves last season, which will lead to the Miami Marlins falling short of picking up a sweep in this series for the first time since 2009.

Disappointing series
Atlanta has dropped the first two games of this series due to the offense scoring just three combined runs, as it attempts to avoid getting swept by Miami for the first time since 2009. 

The Braves will need outfielder Justin Upton to lead the charge offensively, especially after he hit .326 with eight home runs in March/April.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the club has gone 22-21 as road favorites of -125 to -150, with the UNDER going 22-19-2 in that situation.

History in the making
Miami is aiming to win six consecutive games at this venue for the first time, as the franchise last put together such a streak in winning eight in a row at Sun Life Stadium from June 20-July 1, 2009.

The Marlins are hitting .337 and have outscored opponents by a 36-9 margin over the course of their current home winning streak. 

MLB handicappers will find that the team is 3-0 as home underdogs of +100 to +125 during the 2014 campaign, with the OVER going 2-0-1 in those three opportunities.

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Braves starting pitcher Ervin Santana (3-0, 1.95 ERA) has led his new franchise to victory in all four of his efforts, including a 5-4 home win over the Cincinnati Reds last time out—surrendering four runs and nine hits over 6.2 innings of work.

The right-hander is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two road appearances, as he’s issued just four walks and struck out 18 batters in 13 combined frames.

Santana has compiled a 0-2 record and 6.59 ERA in three career outings against the Marlins.

Marlins starting pitcher Henderson Alvarez (1-2, 2.73 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 4-3 road loss to the New York Mets last time out, as he surrendered two runs and six hits over six innings of work.

The right-hander has tallied a 1-1 record and 2.25 ERA in two home outings, with opposing hitters batting .205 against him.

In four lifetime starts versus the Braves, Alvarez has gone 0-2 with a 6.86 ERA.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Marlins as one of their MLB picks, as the Marlins are 0-5 in Alvarez’ last five trips to the mound against division opponents.

Pick: Atlanta Braves -130


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