Bet Braves +105 Over Nationals on MLB Tonight

Ross Benjamin

Friday, August 8, 2014 3:26 PM GMT

Are the Braves going to suffer from a hangover after a horrible road trip, or is the day off, and being at home the remedy they need? Will the Nationals be affected by playing extra innings yesterday, and playing with no rest today? We’ll have the MLB betting answers solved in this article.

A Key NL East Showdown
The Braves will host the Nationals tonight in Atlanta with the first pitch slated for 7:35 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds the Nationals are a -115 money line road favorite and the posted total is 7.0. This will be the opening game of a critical 3-games series for both teams as it applies to the NL East pennant race. Currently the Nationals have the division lead by 4.5 games over the 2nd place Braves. Atlanta has won 7 of the 10-meetings between these teams in 2014 including all 3 that were played in Atlanta.

 

Strasburg’s Struggles at Turner Field
Steven Strasburg has been one of the more dominating pitchers in baseball since coming on the scene during the 2010 MLB season. However, he’s really struggled in 6-starts in his career at Turner Field in Atlanta. He’s posted a very lofty 5.79 ERA in those outings. Speaking of a lack of domination, the Washington right-hander has been far from that when assessing his whole body of work in 2014. He’s gone a mortal 12-12 against the money this season, and has seen just 8 of those 24-starts (25%) stay under the total. He’s had the most difficulty on the road going 4-7 versus the money line with an uncharacteristically lofty 4.68 ERA. On a positive note, he’s been terrific in his last 2-starts allowing just 1 earned run, 7-hits, and struck out 14 while walking just 3.

 

Ervin Santana En Fuego
Ervin Santana enters tonight in stellar form over his last 3-starts, compiling an excellent 1.23 ERA, and an almost 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Braves right hander has been profitable at home going 7-3 against the money with a solid 3.29 ERA. Santana has gone an outstanding 17-4 in his career when installed as a home underdog of +100 or more.

 

A Marathon Getaway Day for the Nationals
Washington concluded its 8-game home stand on Thursday with a thrilling 5-3 win in 13-innings over the Mets. The game began at 12:35 PM ET with the anticipation of getting an early flight to Atlanta, and getting a good night of rest. Sometimes the best laid plans don’t turn out as such. The game took 4-hours and 34-minutes to complete. Looking on the more positive side of things, they came away with win, and widened their lead on the Braves who were idle on Thursday.

 

Nightmare of a Road Trip for Braves
The Atlanta Braves return home following a road trip they would soon like to forget. The Braves dropped all 8-games of the trip out West at the hands of the Dodgers, Padres, and Mariners. They began the trip just 1.0 game behind Washington, and return home having lost 3.5 games in the NL East pennant chase. The good news was they were able to regroup a bit by receiving a much needed day off on Thursday, and return to Turner Field where they’ve won their last 3 in a row.

 

Final Analysis
Atlanta Braves are averaging just 3.7 runs per game this season, and failed to hit a home run in each of their past 2-games. The Washington bullpen staff has compiled a superb 2.94 ERA on the season. Why are these statistics important? I’m glad that you asked, because it sets up a very profitable money line betting system.

Any National League home team that’s +125 to -125 on the money line, and they failed to hit a home run in each of their previous 2-games, versus an opponent that has a bullpen staff ERA of 3.33 or less, has gone 33-16 (67.3%) over the past 3-seasons.
Free MLB Pick: Braves +105 over the Nationals

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