On the eve of one of my most exciting days in sports, it is finally time for me to give out my ‘UNDER’ regular season wins line (RSWL) wagers.
I have already released four solid ‘OVER’ RSWL wagers and now for the teams my machine learning programs see disappointing their fanbase this season.
The Mets ‘UNDER’ 86.5 seems to be far too logical to be a real bet. As we know when the situation looks too good to be true, RUN. However, the Mets do have a new General Manager, but they still have the same or potentially worse offensive problems in their day-to-day lineup. Last season, the Mets ranked 23rd in MLB scoring an average of 4.17 RPG, 21st averaging 1.05 home runs per game, and tied for last with a 0.234 team batting average. The lack of offense will put even more pressure on the starting rotation, which is quite good and a bullpen that has some serious questions surrounding it. The summary machine learning projections show the Mets will have an expected win total of 81 wins. Bet the ‘UNDER’
The New York Yankees won 100 games last season and that was only good for a wild card berth and a game against a very dangerous Oakland A’s team. The Red Sox won 108 games last year and had significant statistical edges in every meaningful metric and performance ratio in head-to-head games. The Yankees set the MLB home run record last season and they cannot be ruled out to make a run at that record again this season. The biggest concern I see is their bullpen, which is built on flame throwers, but really does not have depth in the back end of the bullpen. I am looking forward to the Red Sox versus Yankees games already knowing it will great entertainment watching the powerful Red Sox offense go against the Yankee flame throwers. The current line for Yankee RSWL is 96.5 and too many things must go right for them or any other team to go back-to-back 100-win seasons. So, the clincher is that the summary Machine learning projections call for the Yankees to win 91 games. Bet the ‘UNDER’
In case you were wondering, there are five MLB teams that have won 100 or more games in three straight seasons. They are the New York Yankees from 2002 through 2004, the Atlanta Braves from 1997 through 99, the Baltimore Orioles from 1969 through 1971. The St. Louis Cardinals from 1942 through 1944, and the Philadelphia Athletics from 1929 through 1931. Even back-to-back seasons of at least 100 wins are not as common as you would think.
So, this leads me to my last wager and that is to bet ‘UNDER’ 96.5 wins. Houston can be the 6th team to pull off the trick winning 100 or more games in three straight seasons having won 103 last season and 101 in the 2017 season. As the 96.5 line reflects, the Astros can have a great season and still fail to get to the century mark. Bet the ‘UNDER’.