Best Over/Under MLB Picks For Wednesday Matchups

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, April 13, 2016 1:17 PM GMT

Is the season already over for the 0-7 Twins? Minnesota looks to became the last AL team with a win Wednesday vs. the White Sox. Here are my top MLB picks for Wednesday.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (Total Of 8 On MLB odds)
Here's all you need to know about the steep climb that Minnesota is facing: the past 10 teams in the majors to start 0-7 entering this season all finished with losing records and averaged just 62 victories. It's OK to lose seven straight at one point in the season, just not at first. For example, both the New York Mets and Houston Astros had seven-game skids last season but they both made the playoffs. The Mets won the NL pennant. 

The problem with the Twins is on offense as they have just 13 runs, easily the fewest in the majors. They haven't scored more than three in a game yet. The Twins have two of the top hitting prospects in baseball in Byron Buxton, once the No.1 overall prospect in MLB, and Miguel Sano. Buxton is hitting .182 with 11 strikeouts and Sano .136 with 13 whiffs. Only two every-day players, Joe Mauer and Eduardo Escobar, are batting above .192. That's amazing.

This is the worst start since the franchise moved to Minnesota in 1961, but the franchise record for worst start overall was 0-14 when it was in Washington. The Twins did start just 1-6 last year and still won 83 games. They began 2-9 25 years ago won the World Series. So maybe there's hope. The Twins face White Sox's left-hander Carlos Rodon here.

He allowed two runs over seven innings in his season debut in Oakland and was 0-1 in 9.0 innings with a 2.00 ERA last year against the Twins (one start, once in relief). Minnesota goes with Phil Hughes. He lost in Baltimore in his opener, allowing three runs over six innings. Hughes was 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA in 2015 vs. Chicago.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2993655, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,92,238,169,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free MLB Pick: 'Under.' It has hit in four of Rodon's past six starts. It is 16-5-1 in Hughes' past five on five days of rest.
Best Line Offered: at William Hill

 

Cleveland Indians vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7 In MLB Betting)
This is the lowest total on the board as of this writing. No shock as it's two good pitchers and two of the lowest-scoring offenses thus far, although both certainly better than Minnesota's. The Tribe really miss All-Star outfielder Michael Brantley, who has yet to play this season off shoulder injury. But he did begin a minor-league rehab assignment on Tuesday and could be activated early next week.

Cleveland starts right-hander Carlos Carrasco. He took a no-decision at home vs. Boston last week, allowing four runs and four hits (three homers) and seven hits over five innings. Last year, when Carrasco was very good overall, he was 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA in two starts vs. the Rays. He struck out 18 in 15.1 innings.

Evan Longoria struggles against him, going 2-for-16 with five strikeouts. Kevin Kiermaier is 0-for-7. It's lefty Drew Smyly for Tampa. He lost his season debut vs. Toronto in allowing five runs in 6.2 innings. He was supposed to pitch Saturday against the Orioles but that game was rained out. Smyly didn't face the Tribe in 2015. Yan Gomes is 4-for-8 with two homers off him. Mike Napoli is 2-for-14 with five strikeouts.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2992555, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,92,238,169,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free MLB Pick: 'Under.' The 'under' is 13-5-2 in Smyly's past 20 starts.
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (7.5 For MLB picks)
The Dodgers have lost two more outfielders to the disabled list (along with Andre Ethier) in Carl Crawford and Scott Van Slyke, but on Tuesday they activated both second baseman Howie Kendrick and catcher Yasmani Grandal from the DL. Kendrick hit .295 with nine homers and 54 RBIs last year in 117 games and Grandal .234 with 16 homers and 47 RBIs in 115 games.

That duo, presuming they are in the lineup Wednesday, will face Arizona starter Rubby De La Rosa. He was shelled in 3.1 innings against the Cubs in his first start, allowing seven runs in 3.1 innings. De La Rosa then pitched a scoreless inning of relief on Saturday against the Cubs. He was 0-3 with a 11.21 ERA in four starts last year against the Dodgers.

Kendrick kills the guy, going 10-for-18 with a homer and two RBIs. It's lefty Alex Wood for Los Angeles. He allowed five runs on eight hits in his first start vs. San Francisco. Wood was 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA last year in three starts vs. the Snakes. Paul Goldschmidt is 4-for-9 with two homers and four RBIs against him.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2993804, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,92,238,169,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free MLB Pick: 'Over.' It is 5-1 in De La Rosa's past six starts. It's 4-0 in Wood's past four.
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle