The four starting pitchers included in our top O/U MLB picks today all share certain traits which this handicapper considers to be strong indicators of good leans on 'unders.'
Reds (Iglesias) vs. Brewers (Jungman) 8:10 PM ET
Raisel Iglesias has been in terrific form during his last four starts. During that stretch, Iglesias has compiled a brilliant 1.73 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, and struck out 40 in 26.0 innings pitched. The Reds aren’t nearly as dangerous offensively on the road compared to at home. They’re averaging less than four runs per game and have a lousy .672 OPS on the road.
Taylor Jungman has gone 5-1 under the total at Miller Park this season with an outstanding 1.75 ERA. Jungman made his lone start this year against Cincinnati in early July, and was certainly impressive in that outing. He allowed Cincinnati just 1 earned run on 4 hits while walking only 2 in 8.0 innings.
MLB Picks: Play the Reds and Brewers under 7.5 (+100 at YouWager)
Cardinals (Wacha) vs. Giants (Leake) 10:15 PM ET
Michael Wacha has been in excellent form during his previous five starts evidenced by his sparkling 1.09 ERA during that stretch, and four of those five games went under the total. Leake has made two starts against San Francisco since 2014, and was dominant in those appearances. He held the Giants to just 1 earned run on 9 hits while striking out 13 in 13.0 innings. The Cardinals have gone 72-47 (60.5%) under the total in 2015.
Mike Leake has been sensational during his last six starts, posting a miniscule 1.06 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, and went 5-1 under the total. Leake has made two starts against St. Louis this season and he absolutely dominated the Cardinals. During those outings, he allowed only 2 earned runs on 8 hits while walking just 1 in 16.0 innings pitched. The Giants have gone 18-6 (75%) under the total at home in 2015 versus opponents with a winning record.
The major sportsbooks have a posted total of 6.5 on this game across the board, and it’s this low for good reason. This has all the earmarks of a low scoring game and that’s the direction I’m headed. Once again it’s Pinnacle that provides us with the best betting value.
MLB Picks: Play on the Cardinals and Giants under 6.5 (+106)