Best MLB Parlay Picks Today

It's the end of the week as we continue to search for the best value in the MLB. Sports betting sites have released their odds for today's baseball action and two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: the Tigers vs. White Sox and Angels vs. Mariners.

For reasons that I will explain, you should play the run-line for the first game and the money-line for the second one as we are getting a great value according to the latest MLB odds. Feel free to parlay these in order to maximize your profit.

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox

Friday, October 01, 2021 - 08:10 PM EDT at Guaranteed Rate Field

Wily Peralta

On the surface, Tiger starter Wily Peralta seems to be enjoying a fine season. But his 3.08 ERA may give one a false impression because it is deflated by an unusually low BABIP (batting average of balls in play) and an unusually high strand rate.

https://youtu.be/ygUJNkO-pY4

His 4.50 FIP (like ERA, but factors out fielding) reflects more accurately his individual performances this season as a pitcher. This statistic reveals that he is not so intimidating as his ERA might suggest. With that in mind, I find Peralta less likable also because his favorite pitch is an unreliable one for him.

He throws his sinker with 31-percent frequency and therefore more than any of his other pitches. However, opponents hit .333 and slug .545 against it. While this pitch's velocity is not bad, he often leaves it in the middle parts of the plate, its movement is lower than average, and it shows minimal spin. It's simply a pretty flat pitch located poorly.

Wily Peralta #58 of the Detroit Tigers. Leon Halip/Getty Images/AFP.

Peralta vs. White Sox Batters

There are four White Sox batters who have accumulated more than two at-bats against Peralta. All four -- Billy Hamilton, Leury Garcia, Jose Abreu, and Cesar Hernandez -- bat over .400 against him.

Moreover, Hamilton, Garcia, and Hernandez each slug over .600 against him.

You've likely heard of "momentum heading into the postseason." This is a real thing because how teams play generally reflects their current form in the moment. Although the White Sox have already clinched their division, they are clearly still interested in winning regular-season games. They want to preserve momentum in order to carry that into the postseason.

Therefore, they have won each of their last four games. Their lineup is playing a strong part in their current success as they scored five, eight, seven, and six runs, respectively, in those four games.

https://twitter.com/BallySportsDET/status/1443769420422205440?s=20

Lance Lynn

White Sox starter Lance Lynn is looking to bounce back after his last outing in which he conceded multiple home runs. He is typically good at buckling down as he's allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his four starts directly following an outing in which the opponent hit multiple homers off him.

Moreover, his 2.92 xFIP (like FIP, but calculates how many home runs a pitcher should have allowed by accounting for how many fly balls he has allowed and for the league average ratio of home runs to fly balls) inspires confidence in his current form.

Lynn vs. Tiger Batters

In the one start where Lynn failed to bounce back, he faced a high-level Astro lineup. Ranking 20 spots behind Houston in runs per game, Detroit poses a much softer test.

Plus, observe for your best bets that Tiger batters historically struggle against Lynn. In 92 career at-bats against him, they hit .196 and slug .250. Miguel Cabrera, for example, is 2-for-14 (.143) with seven strikeouts facing Flynn.

Starting pitcher Lance Lynn #33 of the Chicago White Sox. Jason Miller/Getty Images/AFP.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Friday, October 01, 2021 - 10:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park in Seattle

Jose Suarez

Similar to his first professional season, Angel starter Jose Suarez is limping across the finish line. In his last two outings, he has allowed seven earned runs in a combined total of 10.2 innings. Know for your MLB picks that his history against Seattle batters does not suggest a stronger outcome for him tonight.

They have accumulated 64 at-bats against him and hit .281 and slug .531 in those at-bats. Kyle Seager, for example, is 3-for-9 (.333) with two doubles and a homer with Suarez on the mound.

Starting pitcher Jose Suarez #54 of the Los Angeles Angels. Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images/AFP.

Marco Gonzales

Mariner starter Marco Gonzales has won each of his last nine decisions. More recently, he is consistently lasting longer because of his quality in games. He has allowed two runs or fewer in both of his last starts.

One should expect more success against Angel batters, who hit .177 and slugged .396 in 96 at-bats against him.

https://twitter.com/MLB/status/1443754397989752832?s=20

The Verdict

The White Sox will continue their strong form and take advantage of a starting pitcher match-up clearly in their favor. Later, Seattle will continue its good form -- the Mariners have won 10 of their last 11 -- by riding its pitching and lineup edges.

For the above reasons, parlay the White Sox run-line and Mariners money-line. Feel free to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.

Parlay Pick

(visit our Sportsbook Review)

*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.