Battle-Tested Giants the Correct MLB Pick Tonight Over Royals

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, October 24, 2014 2:48 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 24, 2014 2:48 PM UTC

Before making your MLB pick tonight, know that the battle-tested tough Giants, and the less experienced Royals, have split a pair of blowouts in KC to open the best of 7 World Series.

The battle tested tough, San Francisco Giants, and the less experienced, KC Royals, split a pair of blowouts in KC to open the best of 7 World Series.  Now, the venue changes to San Francisco, where the idiosyncrasies of AT&T Park can cause havoc for the visitors, but not to those placing MLB picks who follow our advice.  The tricky autumn winds will be a challenge for the Royals’ outfielders.  As will the mist and fog that drifts in from the marine setting. Further complicating the Royals’ challenge is a 5 p.m. local start with unique conditions of dusk.   All in all, the advantage for San Fran on this field is much greater than what may be considered after they finished the season at 27-27 here, following a 22-9 beginning.

Despite the 2 game split, each team retains positive momentum.  After a 48-50 start through mid-July, the Royals enter on runs of 50-24 and 10-1.  The Giants have their own momentum with a late season uptick of 9-3 and 4-1.  Slight adjustment for the Royals will come without the benefit of the DH playing at this National League site. 

The Kansas City Royals send Guthrie to the mound, who has pitched well in recent starts.  In fact, KC has won his most recent 4 starts in which he pitched 25 IP, allowing just 3 runs.  In his lone playoff appearance, a Royals’ 2-1 victory vs. Baltimore, Guthrie worked 5 IP, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits. However, his lack of playoff experience from a mound where he has little experience and ERAs that are greater than 4.0, both for the YTD and on the road, become a bit problematic.

San Francisco sends veteran Tim Hudson to the mound.  To the surprise of few, San Fran has won both post-season starts by the veteran.  In 13 2/3 IP, Hudson has allowed just 5 runs with a near perfect 13/0 KBB.  His familiarity with this mound and many years of experience give him a meaningful edge against his counterpart.

When San Francisco won Game 1 in KC, it keyed a situation that has seen 14 of the last 17 World Series victors begin the series with a victory.  I will follow that line of thinking, along with the home site edge in Game 3 and the greater experience of Hudson over Guthrie, to make a strong call on the San Francisco Giants to win the World Series for the 3rd time in 5 years against a KC team who has clearly overachieved and feel they have reached their goal by simply qualifying for this event.   

Free MLB Pick: Giants at 5Dimes

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