Monday's four-game Major League Baseball schedule features a makeup of a rainout from the weekend and three West Coast games, and you can check out our top MLB prop picks and best bets for Monday based on the leading MLB odds from our best sports betting apps.
The Texas Rangers have used a five-game winning streak to build a 2.5-game cushion over the Houston Astros in the AL West. The Astros start a huge three-game series with the Seattle Mariners on Monday. With just a half-game separating the two teams, Monday's contest is critical in the American League playoff picture, both in the AL West and the league's wild-card race.
Monday’s MLB schedule and odds
(odds via DraftKings)
- Texas Rangers (-185) vs. Los Angeles Angels (+154)
- Houston Astros (+105) vs. Seattle Mariners (-125)
- San Diego Padres (-122) vs. San Francisco Giants (+102)
Monday’s MLB best bets
- Player prop: Josh Jung Over 0.5 RBIs vs. Angels (+215 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop: Luis Castillo Over 5.5 strikeouts vs. Astros (-135 via Caesars, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop: Blake Snell Under 1.5 earned runs vs. Giants (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks ML vs. Yankees (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
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Monday’s MLB prop picks
Player prop: Josh Jung Over 0.5 RBIs vs. Angels (+215 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Rangers slugger Josh Jung has picked up right where he left off in the six games since returning from injury following a six-week IL stint. Despite going hitless in his last eight at-bats, Jung is still batting .250 with 11 total bases in the past week, and he's driven in a run during two of the six games over that stretch.
He's in his much better hitting split against the southpaw Patrick Sandoval on Monday, as Jung has slashed .340/.375/.651 against lefties during 2022, and he's posting a .254/.304/.435 slash line against right-handed pitching.
Sandoval has logged only one win in his last nine starts while pitching to a 5.34 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in his previous seven. We expect a high-scoring game from a Rangers offense averaging eight runs per outing during a five-game winning streak. And with the Over cashing in 58.5% (24-17-4) of Texas’ division games during 2023, Jung should be a significant part of that trend continuing.
Player prop: Luis Castillo Over 5.5 strikeouts vs. Astros (-155 via Caesars, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
New York Yankees ace Gerrit Cole may have already wrapped up the Cy Young Award, but Mariners righty Luis Castillo is making a solid case for a unanimous second-place finish.
Castillo has won seven of his previous eight starts while registering six quality starts during that span. He's recorded eight strikeouts apiece in his last three outings and struck out six-plus batters in four of his previous five.
In his eight-strikeout effort during his last appearance, Castillo became the eighth pitcher in Mariners history to record at least 200 punchouts in a season. Castillo’s Stuff+ rating of 88 doesn't jump off the page over that torrid stretch since Aug. 10, but he's throwing his fastball more than 50% of the time and challenging hitters with an overpowering arsenal.
This remains a solid four-star play despite the Astros producing the third-lowest strikeout rate over that period. They rank 19th in BABIP, which increases Castillo’s chances to turn in a longer outing.
Player prop: Blake Snell Under 1.5 earned runs vs. Giants (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is one of Blake Snell’s last chances to polish his NL Cy Young Award resume, and the opponent is ideal.
San Francisco ranks 24th or worse in wRC+, wOBA, and OPS against southpaws during 2023, and the team is dead last in ISO in that split. The Giants have also posted the third-highest strikeout rate among NL teams in home games against left-handed pitching during 2023, so we expect Snell to pitch to the caliber of his 1.43 ERA and 0.93 WHIP that he's posted during his previous seven outings.
This is a four-star play, as Snell’s 2.13 road ERA is 0.45 runs better than the next-best pitcher. He's also pitching at Oracle Park, which suppresses home runs by 25% and runs by 4%, according to BallPark Pal.
Monday’s MLB game picks
Moneyline: Diamondbacks ML vs. Yankees (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
The New York Yankees have been abysmal against right-handed pitching during 2023 while posting a sub-.500 record (63-64). They rank 25th in wRC+, 27th in wOBA and are batting a collective .221 in that split, which is better than only the Oakland Athletics.
The Yankees survive primarily on home runs, but Arizona Diamondbacks righty Merrill Kelly has done a great job keeping the ball in the yard lately while allowing just two dingers in his previous 36 1/3 innings.
The Diamondbacks are one of six NL teams over .500 on the road this season, and we don't expect much to be left in Yankees righty Clarke Schmidt's tank over his last two starts. He's thrown 151 innings in 2023 after a previous career-high of 57 2/3.
FanDuel is our go-to shop as Diamondbacks backers, as it's the only one of our best sports betting sites listing the favorites at lower than -121 odds.
MLB best bets made 9/25/2023 at 7:02 a.m. ET
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