Baseball Picks of the Day for Monday, April 10th

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Mark Lathrop

Monday, April 10, 2017 1:30 PM GMT

Monday, Apr. 10, 2017 1:30 PM GMT

I'm very happy with how my analysis has played out in my recent selections even if we haven't started racking up units on the season so far. A lazy Sunday has me with enough time to dig into 3 picks of the day for your Monday MLB betting card.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/AFq8xY-3SSY", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]  Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners  

 

The Mariners finally get their home opener of the season, as they meet up with the Astros again after losing their opening series to them 1-3. A great pitching matchup has Seattle pulling down some obvious home field advantages.

Starting for the Mariners on Monday night is a big lefty, James Paxton, who is currently the best pitcher in their rotation. Paxton has always had electric stuff, with an easy fastball coming in averaging in the high-90’s mixed with a curveball that sits at around 80 mph. Paxton threw an absolute gem in Houston last week, but the Seattle defense let him down as he got a no-decision after pitching 6 innings of shutout baseball.

After that game, Houston faced another 3 lefties in a row and went on a prompt 3-game losing streak. The Astros are batting a paltry .234 off of left-handed starters this year, and that figures to go down with Paxton on the mound. With Seattle’s bats heating up, I see no reason not to back their new ace in their home opener at a very reasonable -128.

 

Free MLB Pick: Seattle -128Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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  Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

 

Although it is early, Pittsburgh is another club that has struggled against lefties on the season. In this opening game against their series with the Cincinnati Reds, the Pirates face on of the up and coming left-handers in the MLB.

Brandon Finnegan gets his second time through the rotation on Monday night against the Pirates after dazzling in his first 2017 appearance. Finnegan throws a fastball in the mid-90’s but has recently started to throw his changeup more. That pitch comes in over 10mph less and is his most effective weapon in generating outs. In his first outing, he threw the pitch 17% of the time as he struck out 9 batters through seven shutout innings against the Phillies.

The Pirates counter with righty Tyler Glasnow, who struggled a bit in his cup of coffee last fall, but who has a good upside with his 6’ 7” frame and mid-90’s fastball. Cincinnati’s lineup has shown in can touch up right-handed starters though, already hitting 8 home runs off of them in 6 games. For this reason, I am taking the handedness advantage into account and will back the moneyline underdog Cincinnati Reds at +130.

 

Free MLB Pick: Cincinnati +134Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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 N.Y. Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 

 

Two pitchers that have shown great recent success against their Monday opponent meet as the New York Mets travel to Philadelphia to take on the Phillies.

Jerad Eickhoff of Philadelphia and Jacob DeGrom of the New York Mets meet on Monday night with the hopes of continuing their success from last year. These pitchers threw a combined 34 innings against each other’s team in the 2016 season and compiled a 1.59 ERA while racking up 33 strikeouts.

This run of recent success, combined with the Mets’ rocky offensive start to the season, has me believing that a pitching duel is in the works on Monday night in Philadelphia. Unfortunately, the weather will be perfect for hitting with calm winds and temperatures in the low 60’s come game time. But considering the Mets are batting only .192 on the season as a team this year, I’m willing to overlook that and take Under 7.5 runs as one of my Monday MLB Picks.

 Free MLB Pick: Under 7.5Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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