Baseball Bets to Bust Your Bookie: Wednesday's O/U Picks

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, May 27, 2015 3:00 PM GMT

We have reviewed the baseball betting odds being offered this lovely Wednesday and have locked on to a pair of totals bound to help us bust our bookies. Let's get right to it!

8:05 PM EDT Nationals (27-18-1 O/U) vs. Cubs (20-21-4 O/U)
Five of the last six Nats’ games have gone under which is a combination of superior pitching and a dearth of offense. Tonight they will trot out the crown jewel of the offseason free agent market in Max Scherzer who has lived up to his lofty billing by recording a 1.67 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP. His last outing was a routinely stellar performance when he held the Phillies to one earned run on four hits over eight full innings of work en route to a 2-1 Washington victory. Scherzer has not faced the Cubbies since 2012 but has a 2.12 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP to show for his two career outings.

The Cubs will counter with a free agent coup of their own when they send Jon Lester to the bump. The former Red Sox has not been nearly as impressive as Scherzer as his 3.56 ERA and 1.31 WHIP will attest but there are signs that he is righting the ship as the season reaches the quarter pole. Lester held the Pirates to only one earned run on May 16th and then bounced right back with another impressive outing holding the Diamondbacks to two earned runs on five hits over seven full in the desert in his last start on May 22nd.

Both teams are in the middle of the pack in terms of runs scored but both have been in an offensive drought over their last several games. Pitching will be the dominant factor in this one as we have a Cy Young candidate in Scherzer dueling with a top tier pitcher in Lester who is finally finding his groove.

Here are some important betting trends to consider in your MLB picks:
*Both previous games this season have flown under the MLB odds total with a total of eight runs combined over their two meetings.
*The Cubs’ games have gone under the MLB odds total in 14 of 21 home games this season.
*Four of six of Jon Lester’s home starts have gone under the posted total.

MLB Pick: Bet under 6 ½ (-120) at GTBets.com

 

10:05 PM EDT Padres (27-20 O/U) vs. Angels (19-25-2 O/U)
The Padres blanked the Halos last night 4-0 and we suspect we will see another low scoring affair as two very good pitchers hook up in the rubber game of a three-game set. Neither team is particularly threatening offensively with San Diego registering the 26th ranked team in on-base percentage while the Angels are at the bottom in all four major offensive categories: 27th in runs, 29th in batting average, 29th in on base percentage and 27th in slugging percentage.

San Diego’s Andrew Cashner has been a hard-luck pitcher this season. Boasting a 2.89 ERA to complement a respectable 1.27 WHIP Cashner has a 1-7 record to show for his efforts. Meanwhile his opponent, Garrett Richards of Los Angeles has a 2.98 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP despite getting tagged for five earned runs in his last start at Fenway Park against the Red Sox.

Both previous games have gone under the posted MLB odds total and we have a sneaking suspicion that this one will go low as well. Here are some betting trends to consider:
*18 of 26 of the Angels’ home games have gone under the MLB odds total.
*Six of the last seven San Diego games have gone under the posted MLB odds total.
*Cashner’s road starts combined with Richards’ home starts have gone under in five of eight occasions.

MLB pick: Bet under 7 (-105)