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MLB Best Bets Today: Matchups, Odds, Picks, and Predictions

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MLB Best Bets Today: Matchups, Odds, Picks, and Predictions
Starling Marte #6 of the New York Mets walks during the seventh inning against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on June 22, 2022 in Houston, Texas. Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images via AFP.

It was Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros who walked off the Kansas City Royals on Monday, extending their winning streak to seven games. We have taken a look at the odds and movement, as well as some of the best bets available across MLB for Tuesday’s games.

As a rookie, Julio Rodriguez became the fastest player to record 15 home runs and 20 stolen bases. Rodriguez will lead the Seattle Mariners against Mike Clevinger and the San Diego Padres as a road underdog of +110 on Tuesday. 

Here are our best bets for Tuesday’s MLB slate (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, and Caesars Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Tuesday’s MLB Schedule and Odds

(Odds via DraftKings)

Seattle Mariners (+110) vs. San Diego Padres (-130)
New York Mets (-210) vs. Cincinnati Reds (+180)
Los Angeles Angels (+120) vs. Miami Marlins (-140)
New York Yankees (-205) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (+175)
Washington Nationals (+140) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-165)
Texas Rangers (-110) vs. Baltimore Orioles (-110)
Cleveland Guardians (-155) vs. Detroit Tigers (+135)
Tampa Bay Rays (+110) vs. Boston Red Sox (-130)
St. Louis Cardinals (+125) vs. Atlanta Braves (-145)
Minnesota Twins (+105) vs. Chicago White Sox (-125)
Kansas City Royals (+200) vs. Houston Astros (-240)
Chicago Cubs (+110) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-130)
Toronto Blue Jays (-175) vs. Oakland Athletics (+150)
San Francisco Giants (-170) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (+145)
Colorado Rockies (+195) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (-230)

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Tuesday’s MLB Best Bets

  • Moneyline: Red Sox (-130 via DraftKings) vs. Rays ★★★★★
  • Spread: Rockies +1.5 (+100 via DraftKings) vs. Dodgers ★★★★
  • Total: Nationals-Phillies Over 9.5 (-105 via DraftKings) ★★★★★
  • Upset: Pirates (+172 via FanDuel) vs. Yankees ★★★★
  • Strikeout prop: Max Scherzer Under 6.5 strikeouts (+115 via DraftKings) ★★★★★
  • Home run prop: Starling Marte (+450 via Caesars) ★★★★

Tuesday’s MLB Top Picks

Moneyline: Red Sox (-130 via DraftKings)

Happy Nick Pivetta day! As long as Pivetta's odds remain undervalued, we will continue to back him. Pivetta has a 1.93 ERA in his last four starts for the Red Sox. As this line should be closer to -170, -130 for the Red Sox and Pivetta represents excellent value.

Spread: Rockies +1.5 (+100 via DraftKings)

Mitch White should not be a -245 favorite on the ML in the Dodgers game against the Rockies on Tuesday. Therefore, we are taking advantage of a favorable price point with the Rockies at +100 on the +1.5-run line. White has a 6.27 K/9 and a 5.10 xFIP in his last two starts for the Dodgers.

Total: Nationals-Phillies Over 9.5 (-105 via DraftKings)

Citizens Bank Park will have ideal hitting conditions on Tuesday, with temperatures expected to be 81 degrees at first pitch and wind blowing out to centerfield at 12 mph. At 9.5, the total has not yet caught up with the weather conditions, and you should expect it to reach a total of 10 soon.

Upset: Pirates (+172 via FanDuel)

In light of the Jameson Taillon revenge angle, there will be no shortage of New York Yankees money on Tuesday. With a price of +172, I favor the Pirates in this matchup. Over the last seven days, the Pirates lineup has a higher wRC+ of 199 and fWAR of 1.0 than the Yankees lineup. 

Pitcher prop: Scherzer Under 6.5 strikeouts (+115 via DraftKings)

Mets fans are certainly thrilled to see Scherzer back on the mound, but his strikeout prop is priced higher than it should be. In Tuesday's game against the Reds, Fangraphs Saber Sim projects Scherzer will strike out 6.26 batters. Considering the total is set at 6.5 and the Under is priced at +115, this bet is currently showing excellent value.

Hitter prop: Marte (+450 via Caesars)

We are all invited to a Marte Partay in Cincinnati on Tuesday. In three starts this season, Reds starter Nick Lodolo has surrendered three home runs to right-handed batters. I also considered Eduardo Escobar (+350) for this prop, but I ultimately decided to take the extra dollar in Marte's price.

Where to Bet on MLB Best Bets

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

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MLB odds and best bets from 7/5/2022 at 7:40 a.m. ET.