Back Royals with Run-Line MLB Picks Over Woeful Road Angels

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, August 15, 2015 3:45 PM UTC

Saturday, Aug. 15, 2015 3:45 PM UTC

Our MLB handicapping points out that by virtue of last night’s loss, the Angels have now gone a horrible 1-10 in their previous eleven road games.

Angels and Royals in “The Heartland” of America
The Royals and Angels meet in the third of a four game series on Saturday. The opening pitch at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. The teams have split the first two games with Kansas City winning 4-1 last night, and the Angels taking the series opener 7-6 on Thursday. The Royals have gone 4-1 versus today’s opponent in 2015.


Saturday's Starting Pitchers
Matt Shoemaker gets the starting assignment for the Angels on Saturday. The young right-hander has certainly been difficult to gauge this season. He seemed to have righted the ship with three consecutive starts in which he allowed no earned runs. That notion was put to rest during his last start. Shoemaker allowed 7 earned runs on 9 hits, including 3 home runs in only 5 2/3 innings of work against the White Sox. Consequently, it was back to square one of an inconsistent 2015 campaign for the Angels hurler. Shoemaker has made one career start at Kansas City, and it came last season. It was an outing he’d rather forget to say the least. Shoemaker allowed 8 earned runs on 11 hits while walking 1 in just 4.0 innings pitched during that horrible performance.

Jonny Cueto will make his second ever home start in a Royals uniform on Saturday. Cueto was dominant in his home debut. The flame throwing right-hander tossed a complete game four hit shutout against Detroit during a 4-0 Royals win. Cueto enters today in excellent form over his previous four starts, posting a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP during those outings. He’s also gone an extremely profitable 21-6 in his home team starts since 2014.


Angels Road Woes
By virtue of last night’s loss, the Angels have now gone a horrible 1-10 in their previous eleven road games. Even more alarming is the fact they lost nine of those ten by 2 runs or more. They’ve also managed to score just 2 runs or less in four of the last five, and five of their previous seven games.


Home Sweet Home
Kansas City currently possesses the best record in the American League. Much of their success can be attributed to going 40-20 (.667) at home. The Royals have also gone an outstanding 47-27 (.635) in 2015 when facing a right-handed starting pitcher.


Home Plate Umpire
The home plate umpire today will be Lance Barksdale, and with no pun intended, he’s gained a reputation of being a homer. Since 1997, home teams have gone 299-190 (.611), and that includes 52-31 (.627) since 2013 when Barksdale is the home plate umpire. This season alone, home teams are 13-7 with a sizable +1.7 run per game differential when Barksdale is behind the dish.


Final Thoughts
I like Kansas City to win this game in a decisive manner. I’m going to lean toward making a run-line wager for one of my MLB picks  on Saturday. According to the MLB betting odds at Pinnacle, they should be an optimum venue for this exact wager.

MLB Picks: Play Kansas City -1.5 (+152) on the run-line at Pinnacle

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