Back Mariners vs. Angels for Tonight's MLB Picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, September 17, 2014 12:35 PM GMT

The Seattle Mariners have the best road record in the American League, which provides them value as underdogs against the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday night. Find out which team we're backing with our MLB picks.

Staying Alive
Seattle hasn’t won back-to-back games since Sept. 6, as it comes off a 13-2 victory over Los Angeles as +126 road underdogs Tuesday, while going 'Over' the betting total for the second consecutive contest.  

The Mariners are just a game back of the Kansas City Royals in the race for the American League’s second Wild Card spot, which is important to consider when making your MLB picks, especially since they’ve compiled a AL-best 43-29 record away from Safeco Field.

MLB handicappers will find that the franchise is 36-25 versus teams with a winning record during the 2014 campaign.

Take a Look at Our American League Wild Card Race Predictions!

Alternate Universe
Los Angeles has alternated wins and losses over its last four affairs, while the bullpen gave up a season-high 13 runs in last night’s setback—a major letdown from a group that had compiled a 2.39 ERA in its previous 78 appearances.

The Angels are 6-8 against the Mariners this season, which can’t be ignored when looking over the MLB odds, but they’ve managed to capture the last eight season series overall.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the club is a mediocre 24-21 at home with a money line of -100 to -125, with the 'Over' going 25-19-1 in that situation.

 

Paxton
Mariners starting pitcher James Paxton (6-2, 1.83 ERA) has proven victorious in three of his last four trips to the mound, including a 4-2 home victory over the Oakland Athletics last time out, as he gave up two runs (one earned) and four hits over six frames.

The left-hander is 3-2 with a 1.80 ERA in six road appearances, with opposing hitters batting .218 against him (.202 at home).

Paxton has put together a perfect 2-0 record and 2.25 ERA in two lifetime starts versus the Halos.

 

Wilson
Angels starting pitcher C.J. Wilson (12-9, 4.61 ERA) has won back-to-back efforts against the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, with the offense providing him 25 runs of support over that span.

The left-hander is 8-2 with a 4.12 ERA in 14 home appearances—issuing 33 free passes and striking out 72 batters in 87.1 combined innings.

Wilson will try to snap a three-game losing streak in this series, which includes an 0-2 mark and 6.08 ERA in two appearances this year.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Mariners as one of their MLB picks, as Paxton’s 1.73 ERA in his first 14 career starts is the third-lowest ERA in league history in that situation, while Wilson is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in two lifetime starts with umpire Jerry Meals behind home plate.

MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners at 5Dimes

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