Back Cardinals Over Cubs for Tonight's MLB Picks

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, September 22, 2014 2:15 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 22, 2014 2:15 PM UTC

Join us as our handicapper takes a look at tonight's matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs and delievers his free pick.

St. Louis Cardinals (Wainwright) (-1 ½ R, -110) vs. Chicago Cubs (Wood) 8:05 ET

5% St. Louis (-1 ½ R, -110)

Our excellent run in MLB Fall Ball continues today with this Road Warrior Run Line Victory. Perennial success in late season baseball is a function of putting in the hours and building on the knowledge of what has happened in the league since April 1st. No secret … just hard work, experience and expertise. This September, my MLB selections are 13-5, including 7-1 recently, in which my followers have added 26% of profit to their bankroll. On Monday night, I offer you yet another winner!

The Cubs have done an admirable job staying competitive, after trading away the top 3 members of their pitching staff at the July 31st trade deadline. Nowhere has that been more true than on this field, where a young Chicago team is playing .500 ball at 39-39. Tonight’s challenge, however, may be beyond their reach for they face a veteran St. Louis team, who at 87-69 has a 2 ½ game lead over Pittsburgh for the division title. Much of that record has been achieved in games when playing off a loss. Such is the case this evening. Since the start of 2013, the Cards are 86-48, following a defeat. Their current 7-2 run lends positive momentum to their bounce back.

The pitching matchup is clearly in favor of St. Louis. The Cubs have won just 8/20 Wood starts, in which he has a 4.86 ERA. That includes going 1-2 in his last 3 outings. Over the span of 13 1/3 IP, Wood has allowed 11 runs on 17 hits with a mediocre 7/7 KBB. Wood has recently struggled at home, where in his last 10 starts, he has gone 0-4 with a 5.43 ERA. St. Louis has always given Wood trouble. Witness his 4.99 ERA in 7 starts. Wainwright, once again, is weaving his late season magic. He has a 1.69 ERA in his most recent 4 starts, all St. Louis victories. In the last 3 of those starts, Wainwright has worked 26 IP, allowing just 2 runs with an 18/3 KBB. A strong history vs. Chicago shows that in 6 recent starts, Wainwright is 4-1 with a 3.13 ERA.

Run line players will note the strong history favoring St. Louis in this role. In the L5Y, 150/196 St. Louis road victories have come by 2 or more runs. For the Cubs, 30/39 home losses this season have been by 2 or more runs.

With the Cubs having tossed the towel and the Cards looking to close out the Pirates for divisional superiority, we play a St. Louis team for our MLB picks, who enter this contest with all systems go.  Take at look at the current MLB odds before placing your bet at a trusty sportsbook like 5Dimes.

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