Back Blue Jays with MLB Picks Over Disadvantaged Road Yankees

Ross Benjamin

Monday, May 4, 2015 12:56 PM UTC

Monday, May. 4, 2015 12:56 PM UTC

We’re going to be examining the MLB odds trading for tonight's matchup between the NY Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays. Can the Yankees stay red-hot? Here's our prediction.

AL East Clash North of the Border
The Toronto Blue Jays host the New York Yankees on Monday at 7:05 PM ET. According to the MLB Odds at Heritage, Toronto is a -115 money line favorite, and the posted total is 9.0. This will be the second series of the season between these AL East rivals. Toronto won two of three at Yankee Stadium in early April.


Starting Pitchers
The Yankees Chase Whitley will make his second start of the season tonight. The young right-hander was solid in his season debut last Tuesday during a 4-2 home win over Tampa Bay. In that outing, he allowed just one earned run on six hits, struck out five while walking only one in 5.0 innings pitched. The bad news for Whitley is he struggled mightily in his lone career start at Toronto. That outing came a season ago, and Whitley allowed eight earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.

The Blue Jays will send veteran right-handed knuckleballer R.A. Dickey to the mound on Monday. Dickey has been victimized by the long ball during his previous three starts, allowing five homers in 18 2/3 innings pitched, and posting a lofty 7.23 ERA as a result. The good news for the Blue Jays is that Dickey has been superb in recent starts versus the Yankees, and especially so at home. He’s 3-0 during his last three team starts at the Rogers Centre in Toronto versus the “Bronx Bombers” with a microscopic 0.45 ERA.


Tough Turnaround for Yankees
The Yankees have the unenviable task of having to play on a Monday after participating in the Sunday night ESPN nationally televised game. Making matters worse in that regard, they played on the road last night, and will do the same tonight. On a more positive note, they’re coming off a three game sweep at Fenway Park in Boston, and have gone 10-2 in their last twelve games. They’ve also gone an outstanding 10-3 on the road to start the season. The Yankees bullpen continues to perform at a very high level, posting a collective 1.68 ERA on the year which is absolutely superb.


All Offense and no Pitching
Toronto Blue Jays is potentially the most dynamic team offensively in all of baseball. Heading into this three game series versus the Yankees, Toronto is averaging 5.5 runs per outing, and has smashed 32 home runs in their first twenty-six games. During their previous seven contests they’ve been even better, averaging a robust 6.3 runs per game. However, they’re also allowing 5.3 runs per game this season and 6.0 runs per contest over the last seven.


Final Analysis
Although the Yankees are clearly playing the better baseball in this matchup, it’s still a very tough spot to overcome. The Blue Jays should have a slight edge in the starting pitching department on Monday based on how both hurlers have fared versus tonight’s opponent. I’m going to use the small home favorite as one of my MLB picks on Monday.

MLB Picks: Play the Blue Jays -115 on the money line at The Greek

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