Some believe that cashing in on their MLB picks is futile as the season reaches the last two months but we are here to tell you that the MLB odds can be your friend and not your enemy.
Giving Up on MLB in August?
Never I say! Would you stop betting football in the eleventh week of the season? Of course you wouldn’t. That’s just about where the MLB season is at this very moment. There are obviously teams that are waiting for next year and their lineups may include call-ups and kids with little MLB experience yet if you see a mismatch but don’t want to lay all that vig then maybe you bet the favorite on the run line as opposed to the money line. Or, on the flipside if a team with postseason aspirations has a back of the rotation guy chucking who has been a disaster over his last three starts then perhaps you can hit a homerun with the underdog and get a hearty return on your investment.
I can certainly understand if you decide to stay away from Major League Baseball entirely during the month of April when the season is brand new and uncertainty hovers like a thick cloud of confusion but to have all this data for the current season at your fingertips and to choose to ignore it is poppycock! Our resident degenerate JJ Gold has espoused such a thing in a recent forum post and that advice should be paralleled with his betting spreadsheet that is routinely littered with red losses. If you follow JJ Gold you do so at your own risk. He makes a helluva video but as a betting savant he falls perilously short.
Case in Point
The Atlanta Braves are in the midst of an eight-game tailspin. They are also a team contending for postseason glory but when they packed up and took to the highway for a West Coast road swing which began with a three-game set with the NL leading Dodgers you had to know that this was fraught with peril. The Braves have not been a great road team to begin with this season and when faced with one of the best teams in the league in their home park then that spells opportunity….to fade them!
The Bravos were installed as underdogs in all three games and that status was most assuredly deserved. After flying in from Atlanta the Braves trotted out Aaron Harang to duel the Dodgers Josh Beckett. Harang was installed as a +140 dog in MLB odds and got blasted by Big Blue’s potent lineup ultimately bowing 8-4 on July 29th. Alex Wood (+160 in MLB odds) and Julio Teheran (+190) both pitched well in the next two games but were up against two premier pitchers in Zack Greinke and ace Clayton Kershaw. Both were losses.
After a deflating first three games of their trip they traveled on over to San Diego where you had to believe Atlanta would be gnashing their teeth after dropping three straight and two consecutive one-run games. They were there in uniform only as their bats were left at home and they got pummeled by the score of 10-1 to a team not known for its offensive prowess. Oh and by the way, Mike Minor was the starting pitcher of record and was installed as a -120 favorite in MLB odds. That was a great opportunity to pounce on a live home dog at sportbooks like BetOnline.
The Bravos went on to lose the next two by one run and were installed as -120 favorites and +120 underdogs respectively. After six consecutive losses the team packed their bags and traveled to Seattle where they have dropped their first two contests by scores of 4-3 and 4-2. Their offense is in a funk and maybe the only thing that will shake them out of it is some home cooking. Ervin Santana will get the nod as he opposes Washington’s Stephen Strasburg on Friday night. Is opportunity finally knocking to bet the Braves in your MLB picks? Stay tuned.