August 21st's Daily MLB Pitching Report

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, August 21, 2014 1:24 PM GMT

Ross Benjamin provides us with his Daily Pitching Report in which he covers the games between the Indians/Twins and Padres/Dodgers. Read what Ross’ findings were regarding MLB betting edges in each of these games, before beginning your sports wagering day.

Indians vs. Twins 1:10 PM ET
The Indians starter Corey Kluber has been absolutely sensational over his last 10-starts. During that time he was virtually unhittable posting an excellent 1.19 ERA, a 0.78 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Indians ace has seen 9 of his 10-starts during the day go under the total this season, and he compiled a stellar 2.15 ERA, and nearly an 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio in the process. Kluber has gone a very profitable 22-7 against the money during the past 2-seasons when he’s installed as a money line favorite of -110 or more.

The Twins Phil Hughes enters this afternoon’s game in tremendous form over his last 3-starts, going 3-0 against the money, posting a 1.33 ERA, and an 11:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Hughes has seen each of his past 6-starts go under the total. Hughes has been a huge money maker when pitching in day games this season. He’s gone 10-2 against the money in that role, and earned a huge 10.80 MLB betting units.

Advantage: Both of these pitchers enter today extremely sharp. However, here’s the telling factor for me. Corey Kluber has a terrific 1.07 WHIP in his 26-starts this season. The Twins have gone an abysmal 0-18 in 2014 when facing an American League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.10 or less. Need I say more? It’s Korey Kluber over Phil Hughes in this matinee affair.

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**UPDATE**

Kershaw for Greinke
The Dodgers have scratched Zack Greinke from his scheduled start, and replaced him with their ace Clayton Kershaw. As a result, the money line has drastically changed. The Dodgers have now moved to a -230 money line favorite. The total has also gone from 6.5 to 5.5 in direct correlation with Kershaw being on the mound.

 

The Skinny on Kershaw
The all-star hurler has gone a superb 16-4 against the money this season with a 1.86 ERA, a 0.83 WHIP, and a better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Kershaw has gone 14-8 against the money in his career versus the Padres and has a 2.38 ERA in those outings.

 

Advantage: Although Zack Greinke is a quality pitcher, Clayton Kershaw is in another league. I give a huge edge to Kershaw over Tyson Ross of the Padres this evening.

Compare Our Handicappers Picks for the Padres vs. Dodgers Series Finale!

**ORGINAL ARTICLE**

Padres vs. Dodgers 10:10 PM ET
The Padres starter Tyson Ross has been a pleasant surprise this season. Although he’s gone just 13-13 against the money in 2014, he’s posted a very good 2.70 ERA in those starts. Unfortunately for the Padres, the majority of his dominating starts have come at pitcher friendly Petco Park in San Diego. Ross has gone 5-8 against the money on the road this year, with a not as impressive 3.56 ERA, and a lofty 1.42 WHIP. The young right-hander has seen just 7 of his 26 starts this season go over the total, and 12 of his last 15 had stayed under the number. Ross has gone 0-4 against the money in his last 4 versus the Dodgers despite having a very good 2.63 ERA.

The Dodgers starter Zack Greinke has had a bit of a weird season. He’s gone just 13-12 against the money, but has posted a solid 2.75 ERA in doing so. He’s been much better at Dodger Stadium than on the road in 2014, going 7-4 against the money with a 2.48 ERA, and an almost 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Dodgers hurler uncharacteristically walked 5 men in 5.0 innings during his last start this past Friday versus the Brewers. Prior to that start, he had walked just 2 in 28.0 innings during his previous 4-starts. Since the start of the 2013 season, the right-hander has gone a perfect 5-0 against the money versus the Padres with a super 1.80 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and all 5 of those games went under the total. Greinke has gone an exceptional 45-12 against the money in his career as a home favorite of -150 or more.

Advantage: Tyson Ross has shown a ton of promise for the future with his performance level thus far in 2014. However, due to his occasional struggles on the road this year, and Greinke’s absolute dominance against the Padres over the past 2-seasons, I’m giving the call to the more seasoned Dodgers starting pitcher in this one.

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