August 1st Pitching Report for MLB Bettors

Ross Benjamin

Friday, August 1, 2014 12:13 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 1, 2014 12:13 PM UTC

Sportsbook Review’s MLB handicapping guru breaks down a couple of starting pitching confrontations tonight in the games between the Giants/Mets and the Rays/Angels. Read this revealing MLB handicapping article, and find out who has the MLB wagering edge in both of these matchups.

San Francisco Giants (Vogelsong) vs. New York Mets (Niese) 7:05 PM ET
The Giants starter Ryan Vogelsong has gone 7-2 against the money on the road this season, and made a profit of +7.30 MLB betting units. However, those numbers are a bit deceiving since he’s posted a lofty 5.44 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in those 9-outings. Vogelsong has displayed subpar form over his last 4-starts as evidenced by an unimpressive 1.60 WHIP in those outings. The veteran Giants right-hander has gone a dismal 1-5 against the money in his last 6-starts overall. Since the start of the 2011 season, Vogelsong has seen all 3-starts versus the Mets go over the total, and he was a major contributor to those results by posting a 5.00 ERA.

The Mets starter Jonathan Niese enters tonight in shaky form over his last 4-starts with a 5.71 ERA and 1.85 WHIP. On a more positive note, Niese has posted a stellar 2.80 ERA in 8-starts at home this season, and has earned +3.10 betting units while doing so. The Mets southpaw has seen all 5-starts during his career versus the Giants go under the total, and he posted a shining 2.38 ERA in the process. Niese will be facing an opponent this evening that’s hitting an anemic .196 as a team over their last 7-games and just .230 in 37-games this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher.

Advantage: After doing my MLB handicapping pertaining to the starter pitchers in this game, I have concluded the betting edge goes to Jonathan Niese of the Mets over Ryan Vogelsong of the Giants.

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Los Angeles Angels (Shoemaker) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Hellickson) 7:10 PM ET
The Angels starter Matt Shoemaker enters tonight in very good form over his last 3-starts with a sparkling 2.89 ERA, a 0.96 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. However, it must be noted that all 3 of those starts occurred at home. The road hasn’t been as kind to the Angels youngster. He’s seen his last 3 on the road all go over the total with much of that attributed to his large 6.75 ERA in those outings.

The Rays starter Jeremy Hellickson has gone 2-0 against the money with a 1.00 ERA since returning from a season long stint on the DL. I would be remiss if I didn’t bring it to your attention, that Hellickson wasn’t able to get past the 5th inning in either of those starts, and was very fortunate to escape relatively unscathed. Since the start of the 2012 season, the Rays right-hander has been dominant in 3-starts versus the Angels, going 3-0 against the money, and posting a microscopic 0.52 ERA.

Advantage: This starting pitching matchup is a very tough call for a plethora of reasons that sends mixed signals. At the end of the day, I’m going to give a slight edge to Hellickson of the Rays, solely based on his recent track record when facing the Angels.

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