August 18 Odds: Rockies Gouge Garza, Brewers at Coors

matt garza

Willie Bee

Friday, August 18, 2017 1:03 PM GMT

Friday, Aug. 18, 2017 1:03 PM GMT

Colorado has fallen off a bit the past couple of weeks, but the Rockies are strong favorites on the MLB odds Friday night when they open a crucial weekend set with the Brewers.

MLB Season Record: 62-63-3 (+1.09)

Who said the baseball playoffs don’t start until October? In many ways, they’ve already begun and will continue this weekend in Denver where the Milwaukee Brewers pay the Colorado Rockies a visit. Friday’s series opener is scheduled to begin at 8:40 PM (ET) with a mound duel between Matt Garza (6-6, 4.38) and German Marquez (9-5, 4.13), the Rockies being offered at -167 at Heritage with 12 for the total.

Colorado is knotted with Arizona in the NL Wild Card race, both teams well behind in the NL West where the Dodgers hold a 19-game lead at the top. Milwaukee is the closest challenger for a wild card spot, 4½ behind the Rockies and Diamondbacks but just a game out in the NL Central, where four clubs are bunched within 5½ of each other.

 

Rocks 7-2 Behind Marquez In Denver

Garza got off to such a great start to the campaign, the Brewers winning four of his first five trips to the mound. They’ve since gone 5-8 behind the former Fresno State standout, good enough to cost bettors following Garza in those games a little less than 3 units against the MLB odds. He did cash his last time out but has not done well vs. the Rocks over the course of his career (2-5, 6.10), losing all three games in Denver (8.81 ERA, 16.1 IP).

An ERA over 4.00 usually doesn’t warrant many atta’ boys. But when nine of your 20 starts have come at Coors Field and you have a 4.13 overall mark, as in Marquez’s case, it’s enough to at least make you sit up and take notice. The Venezuelan rookie has a respectable 4.31 ERA in 56 innings off this mound, and the Rockies are 7-2 when Marquez hurls in Mile High City. He faced the Brewers on the final day of last season, holding them to two runs in six frames.

 

Rivalry Trends, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

Home field advantage has been the prevalent theme, and the Rockies have done their part by winning 43 of the 67 games the Brewers have played at Coors Field. Milwaukee has been cutting into that margin by taking six of the last nine here, but the Brew Crew also couldn’t hold up their end of the bargain in Beer City when the teams met to open the 2017 fixture. Colorado won 3 of 4 while totals split; all three games in Denver a year ago stayed ‘under.’

First pitch will find temps in the low 80s under clear skies with a light SE breeze (out to left). The Rockies might be without All-Star 3B Nolan Arenado tonight due to a bruised hand, but I still like them enough to play them on the run line for my free baseball pick.

Free MLB Pick: Rockies -1½ (+115)Best Line Offered: Heritage

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