Although the MLB Odds total on this game is pretty high, I'm looking for more offensive output today between A's & Dbacks.This is a good spot for both offenses to break out some serious lumber today.
For a National League park this total is really high by MLB odds makers at 9. But when we get to the matchups it makes a lot of sense and right now the best odds on over the total are at Pinnacle Sports at -105. It'll be interesting to see if this line moves but being that this is not a marquee game I don't imagine it'll change much.
Jesse Chavez gets the start for Oakland with a 4.00 ERA, 1.28 whip, 122 strikeouts, and a 7-13 record. He started out the season pretty solid, but recently he has really struggled on the mound and in his last 10 starts he has given up runs on a consistent basis. Also, he has much better numbers in Oakland then on the road where he is today where his ERA goes from 2.85 at home to 5.17 on the road with batters hitting .277 against him. This does not bode well for him facing arguably the top offense in the National League.
Oakland ranks 17th in runs scored per game at 4.08, 23rd in OPS at .698, and 18th in team batting average hitting .252. They are a mediocre ranked offense statistically but they got some guys in the lineup that can knock the ball around like Vogt and Reddick. As well, their statistics don't change much whether they are at home or on the road. They knocked out eight hits yesterday and I expect a lot more production from them today.
Allen Webster gets the start with a 6.86 ERA, 1.67 whip, 13 strikeouts, and a 1-1 record. He is getting the start in place of Robbie Ray today and is mostly just a spot starter so far in his two-year career. In his last two home starts against the Angels and Dodgers he has given up 10 runs in just nine innings. Although I think he is a better pitcher than his current numbers he is not the kind of guy that is going to come out and shut down a decent hitting team like Oakland.
Arizona ranks fourth in runs per game at 4.50, eighth in OPS at .732, and sixth in team batting average hitting .265. All their major offensive statistics go up in Arizona and they are extremely good and dangerous home hitting team. After only getting a couple runs on the board yesterday I don't expect them to have that type of low amount of production at the plate today, look for them to have a lot of quality at-bats.
On numbers alone this game is a solid MLB pick to go over the total and I'm going to go ahead and back those numbers. Although the odds makers made this a very high total for National League game not in Colorado don't let that sway you. Look for both of these teams to knock the ball all over the park today, back the over.
MLB Pick: Over 9 at Pinnacle