Applied Betting System Suggests Adding 'Over' to Phillies vs. Rockies MLB Picks

Ross Benjamin

Monday, May 18, 2015 3:07 PM GMT

Our MLB consultant will preview the opening game of the series between Philadelphia and Colorado on Monday. Join us in reading this revealing betting article that concludes with a selection on the total.

Phillies begin a Four Game Set at Coors Field
The Colorado Rockies will host the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday at 8:40 PM ET. According to the MLB betting odds at Bookmaker, Philadelphia is a -106 money line favorite, and the posted total is 9.0. This will be the first meeting of the season between these National League clubs. These teams split their six encounters in 2014, and those games went 4-1-1 over the total.

 

Starting Pitchers
The Philadelphia Phillies will send their ace Cole Hamels to the mound on Monday. The veteran southpaw will be making his ninth start of the season, and has posted a very respectable 3.53 ERA thus far. However, he’s endured some difficulty in three road starts, compiling a lofty 5.68 ERA, and an unimpressive 1.58 WHIP.

The Colorado Rockies will call upon right-hander Jordan Lyles to make the start in this series opener versus Philadelphia. Lyles has displayed poor form over his last three starts, posting a large 6.92 ERA, and a 1.77 WHIP. Since the beginning of the 2013 MLB campaign, Lyles is 20-4 over the number when the total is 8.5 to 10.0. Those twenty-four games started by Lyles averaged a combined 12.4 runs per outing.

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Phillies hit the Road with Momentum
The Phillies just completed a ten game home stand with a 6-0 win over Arizona on Sunday, and that marked their fifth consecutive victory in a row. Tonight will be the opener of a four game series at Coors Field versus Colorado, and they’ve gone just 4-13 in away games in 2015. The Phillies have also gone 9-4-4 over the total in those seventeen road tilts.

 

Futile Stretch for Rockies
The Colorado Rockies return home following a six game road trip that concluded with a 1-0 loss at Dodger Stadium on Sunday. The Rockies have gone a dismal 2-13 in their last fifteen games, and that included an eleven game losing streak which was put to an end this past Friday. What always seems to be the case, Colorado is a much better hitting team at home than on the road. In thirteen games at Coors Field this season they’re hitting a robust .292 as a team. The bad news in that regard, opponents are hitting an even better .304 at Coors Field, and averaging a healthy 6.2 runs per game.

 

MLB Totals Betting Angle
Any home team with a total of 8.5 to 10.0, playing in the first half of the season, hitting .255 to .269 as a team for the year, and is facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or less, resulted in that home team going 33-11 (75%) over the total since the start of the 2011 season. I liked this game on the high side of the total to begin with, and this system pushed me over the edge when making my MLB picks for Monday.

MLB Pick: Philadelphia and Colorado to go over the total of 9.0 at Bookmaker.