Another Monster Underdog in Today's MLB Picks of the Day

Joe Catalano

Friday, September 19, 2014 1:39 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 19, 2014 1:39 PM UTC

We’re coming off of a monster day in the MLB last night in which we nailed a huge underdog and look to continue our winning ways with our betting picks for Friday.

Capper Catalano’s Record: 206-177 -15.46 Units
We hit both of our plays in yesterday's MLB Picks of the Day. First, We hit a +248 underdog in the Texas Rangers over the slumping Oakland Athletics. Oakland looked vulnerable and this was a no-doubter as the Rangers won 7-2. We then took the Yankees in a 2-unit play over the Blue Jays and R.A. Dickey. Derek Jeter smashed his 4th home run of the season off of R.A. Dickey as the Yankees pulled out a close one. Let’s look for the next betting gems.


Philadelphia Phillies (70-83) vs. Oakland Athletics (83-69)

Another Monster Underdog
What do you do with a team that’s won 3 out of their last 10 games, including a loss as a -270 betting favorite yesterday and pretty much crapping away an outstanding season? You fade them.

We go right back to the team that we faded yesterday in the Oakland Athletics. The Athletics showed no heart whatsoever against the Texas Rangers, who are one of the worst teams in the league. Why not use some of those winnings and try to beat a vulnerable A’s team again and make 2 ½ times your investment again?


Jon Lester
Taking the Phillies will be a test as Lester has had an outstanding season since being traded to Oakland. The only negative to the Lester and Samardzija trades were that Oakland was winning more before these two studs came to Oakland and Yoenis Cespedes is playing well in Boston.

Lester has been brilliant, winning 6 out of his last 9 decisions and in his last 2 starts (both wins), he allowed just 2 runs in 14 innings. There’s really no reason for taking the Fightin Phils in this spot other than the collapse that Oakland has endured.

Philadelphia is a veteran team with guys like Chase Utley and Ryan Howard who have had good careers but are in the twilight of their respective careers and were unable to win a World Series. That said, this is a team that can beat anyone on any given day.


Ole Reliable?
Philly sends out David Buchanan (6-7, 3.75) to the mound and in Buchanan hasn’t allowed more than earned runs in any of his last 10 starts.

My hopes are for Buchanan to keep the Phillies in this game, Oakland to feel the pressure of practically giving away a post-season spot, and for guys like Marlon Byrd and Dominic Brown, Utley, Howard, and Revere, to tag Lester for a few runs and leave this game to the Oakland bullpen.

Let’s go with Philly in this spot. Until Oakland shows me some heart, the numbers are meaningless and I’m fading their massive odds.

Free MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +240 at 5 Dimes for one of today's free picks

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Milwaukee Brewers (79-74) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (82-70)

Less Imposing
The Milwaukee Brewers are another team that’s been throwing away their season after such a fantastic year for most of their season. They’ve become less intimidating as they now trail the Pittsburgh Pirates by 3.5 games for the final wild card spot in the National League. For such an improved Brewers team with hitters like Gomez, Lucroy ,Braun, Ramirez, and Gennett not to make the post-season is a crime. Tonight’s game carries a 2 game swing with the outcome; it’s definitely a must-win situation for the Brewers.


Gallardo vs. Locke
The Pirates are on a 4-game winning streak and have the advantage in this pitching matchup at home. Starter Jeff Locke (7-5, 3.66) has been somewhat inconsistent lately, allowing 3 runs and 6 hits in 5 1/3 innings in his last start in a no-decision against Chicago, but I’m not scared off. Locke will either pitch well or keep the Pirates in the game and if the game is in doubt, will leave the outcome up to guys like Josh Harrison and Andrew McCutchen.

Pittsburgh’s heavy hitters have been more clutch at the right time than Milwaukee’s deep offense. Josh Harrison continues to hit amazingly well. He’s on a 6  game hitting streak and is hitting .367 in the month of September. McCutchen is hitting .314 in the month of September and has resumed being a top-rate 5 –tool baseball player since his injury. This duo is deadly and the Brewers are reeling. Take Pittsburgh to land the knockout blow with a victory tonight.

Free MLB Pick: Pittsburgh -125 at 5 Dimes – 2 Unit Play

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