Angels vs. Orioles MLB Picks: Weaver & Chen Pitching Inspires Odds Makers to Set Run Total Low

David Lawrence

Friday, May 15, 2015 12:03 PM GMT

Friday, May. 15, 2015 12:03 PM GMT

Neither the LA Angels nor Baltimore Orioles have lived up to MLB odds makers expectations to lead the American League. What’ll happen when they clash on the MLB betting lines on Friday?

The Los Angeles Angels Can Win Because…
Their starting pitcher seemed to put all the pieces together in his most recent start. Jered Weaver has had a bumpy, up-and-down season. He gave up five runs in a recent start on May 3 against the San Francisco Giants, and that followed an outing in which he gave up six runs to Oakland on April 28. The Angels had to be concerned with the direction in which Weaver’s season was heading. However, the ace of the staff snapped out of his funk and acted like a number one pitcher. On May 8 against a very good Houston team that’s leading the American League West and has one of the better records in baseball, Weaver locked everything down. He threw a complete-game shutout, issuing no walks. He was able to scatter six hits and not pay a price because his control was so good, and if he allowed an individual hit here or there, he didn’t compound his problem by surrendering a free base on balls. This is exactly how an elite pitcher is supposed to go about his business. It’s not the hits that are a problem unless they’re home runs or loud doubles, especially allowed in bulk quantities. Weaver had been getting tagged in previous weeks, but he finally looked like an overwhelming pitcher against Houston. When a great pitcher such as Weaver finds his form in the way Weaver did, it is very reasonable from a betting standpoint to expect him to sustain that form in his next outing.

 

The Baltimore Orioles Can Win Because…
They have the more consistent starting pitcher within the course of this season & are favored by MLB odds. While Weaver has the better career-long numbers and credentials, Baltimore starter Wei-Yin Chen has been a more steady and productive pitcher strictly within 2015. Chen has never given up more than three earned runs in any start this season. He has given up more than two earned runs in only one start this season. He has been regularly strong. He endured a very weird start in which his defense committed a bunch of errors (against Boston on April 20) while he issued five walks, but for the most part, Chen’s control has been decent. He hasn’t walked more than two hitters in a game other than in that April 20 aberration against Boston. In three of his six starts, he’s allowed only one walk. In his most recent start, Chen was excellent. He allowed just one run in seven innings against the New York Yankees on May 9. He should be able to outpitch the erratic Weaver here.

 

Outlook
We have a bit of a low total here given the pitching situation. On the surface, it seems like there are two steady arms here but Weaver has been awful on the road lately, giving up 11 runs and 16 hits in his last two road starts. On the season, he’s 0-3 on the road with a 6.38 ERA. As for Chen, he’s been steady but he’s 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA in two starts against the Angels. Take the over with your MLB picks.

MLB Picks: Over at WagerWeb

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