Angels vs. Indians: If it Ain’t Broke, Don’t Fix it… Out Of A 100% Situation!

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, August 12, 2016 4:48 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 12, 2016 4:48 PM UTC

The current run on SBR MLB selections is 4-1 including our winner yesterday with “Cleveland runline” in their 14-4 trouncing of the LA Angels. Game #2 of this 4 game weekend series is at 7:10 PM EST, join expert capper for today's MLB pick.

LA Angels (Skaggs) vs. Cleveland Indians (Carrasco)
We will be right back on Cleveland on the run line in a 100% situation supported by a 78% YTD situation.  

On August 1st, I listed the LA Angels as the American League’s biggest “Towel Tosser”.  They began August with a pair of victories against another “Towel Tosser”, Oakland.  Since that time, however, they have gone 0-7.  In that losing streak, they have allowed 47 runs (nearly 7 RPG).  In the last 4 games, offensive ineptitude has joined that of the defense with the Angels playing a total of only 7 runs.  The Angels are mired at the bottom of the AL West with their 49-65 YTD record being better than only Minnesota and Tampa Bay in the American League.  

Cleveland is clearly at the other end of the spectrum and has the advantage of beginning an 11 game home stand.  This, however, will only even up the number of home and road games for the Tribe.  This is especially important since Cleveland boasts a 32-20 record in this field. The Tribe had a bit of a dip following their 14 game win streak in early July.  Yet they still hold a 4 game Divisional lead against Detroit and have the second best record (to Texas) in the American League with a record of 64-48. Along with the dichotomous current form of these teams, we have what I believe to be a solid pitching advantage in this contest.  

The Angels send Skaggs to the mound who was recalled as a result of the multiple injuries to the Angels starting pitching staff this season.  Skaggs pitched a couple of decent outings in his first two games, but he was lit up for 4 runs on 9 hits in 5 1/3 IP in his most recent start at Seattle.  For Cleveland, Carrasco has a solid 3.17 ERA for the year.  Carrasco comes off a solid return-to-form game in his last outing allowing just 3 runs on 5 hits with 9 Ks in 7 IP vs. NYY.  In addition, Carrasco has an incredible history against the Angels.  In 7 appearances, he has a 1.36 ERA.  With this kind of advantages, it is most probable that Cleveland will extend their series-record which shows them winning 6/ 7 contests against the Angels.

We play this game on the run line knowing that each of the last 12 LA Angel losses has been by 2 or more runs and that 50/64 Cleveland wins have been by 2 or more runs.  I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my winning MLB picks with the Cleveland Indians as a run line underdog.


Free MLB Picks: Indians -1.5 +125
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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