Angels & Rockies to Put Up Runs on Padres & Rangers

mlb picks of the day

Mark Lathrop

Sunday, September 17, 2017 12:18 PM GMT

Sunday, Sep. 17, 2017 12:18 PM GMT

Our MLB handicapper, Mark Lathrop, won his 200th MLB selection yesterday. That means absolutely nothing until you consider that he has lost less than 200 games, of course. Read on as he continues his winning ways and makes his Sunday MLB Picks of the Day.

 

It’s not often that our MLB handicapper bases a pick on team trends versus individual, but in this late-season situation, there is too much going for the Rockies to fade them at home against the lowly Padres.

Padres vs. Rockies

Colorado has over-performed expectations this year by being the first team to have a winning record on the road in franchise history. That doesn’t change the fact that they are tough to beat at Coors Field and own a 42-31 record at home. They are also tough in day games such as today’s and own a 33-20 record and +13.6 units in those situations. Almost all of the profit made for bettors by Colorado this year has been in day games.

The Padres are almost the exact opposite of the Rockies in this situation and have sucked on the road all year. They own a 26-47 record away from Petco, and also own a 16-29 record in day games. They just don’t see the ball well under natural light, as indicated by their putrid day team batting average of .213. A convergence of trends has me taking the Rockies large in this game and I’ll take them on the run line at Pinnacle as one of my Sunday MLB Picks.

MLB Pick: Colorado Rockies RL Best Line Offered (-105) at Heritage

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The Angels brought back one of their more consistent performers, when healthy, off of the DL recently. Unlike my analysis of Madison Bumgarner yesterday, Garrett Richards should be pitching the end stretch of the season.

Rangers vs. Angels

Garrett Richards’ two starts since returning from the DL have been true to form with one earned run given up in each. He hasn’t pitched very deep in either game, but he’s been dominant while doing so. The pitch count issue is easily avoided by us bettors by using a first 5 inning line anyway. Richards came back into the rotation with a lively mid-90’s fastball and slider hitting 90 mph as well. He has walked just one batter in those 8.1 innings, and more importantly, is forcing ground balls at an elite rate.

Richards will face Miguel Gonzalez, who is having a disappointing 7-11 season. Gonzalez gives up a .291 BAA against lefties and a .300 BAA and 1.64 WHIP on the road. He hasn’t made it past the 3rd inning of his last two starts and has given up two home runs in each. Gonzalez faced the Angels once this year as a member of the White Sox only to get hammered for 5 earned runs and walking 5 batters as well. I’ll take the hot hand here, but only for the first 5 innings on the -.5 run line as one of my Sunday MLB Picks of the Day.

MLB Pick: Los Angeles Angels RL Best Line Offered Pinny

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2017 MLB Record, 200-177-10, +9.66 units (1 Pending)

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