Angels Make A Heavenly Live Dog Over Mariners

Jhoulys Chacin pitching during a game

Wednesday, September 14, 2016 3:44 PM GMT

The playoff-contending Seattle Mariners will look for a sweep of the cellar-dwelling Los Angeles Angels. Let’s review what the MLB odds makers are hanging on this one and get on the right side.

 

It has been a tedious string of win one, lose one over the course of the past few weeks. Perhaps I am being a glass half empty kind of guy as the truth is we have won more than we’ve lost but I miss the five, six seven-game winning streaks we crafted earlier in the season. Fortunately, the season has indeed been a winning proposal as our MLB picks have won far more often than not and we stand at over 21 units on the season, based solely on one unit plays.

Last night we backed the Dodgers for the second consecutive night but the results were opposite of the cover we enjoyed on Monday night. The Yankees, behind C.C. Sabathia, won the pitching duel and we lost 1.24 units on LA. Let’s dust ourselves off and get back to winning as we peruse the MLB odds on this AL West tilt between a contender and a pretender.

 

Mariners Seek to Sweep
Seattle picked the right time of the year to heat up and vault back into the postseason picture. Winners of six straight, including their last two over the hapless Angels, the Mariners have thrust themselves into a death struggle for a wild card berth with six other American League teams for just two spots. Their lineup has been killing it as of late, averaging nearly nine runs per game over their last eight contests, of which they have won seven.

Tonight they will trot out their Japanese import Hisashi Iwakuma (15-11, 3.96, 1.29) to sweep it up and get back home to face the Astros. Iwakuma has a career high 15 wins on the season and leads the team in wins. The 35-year-old native of Tokyo rebounded from a tough start in a 6-3 loss to the Texas Rangers when he was lit up for a season-high five runs (his fourth five-run game) on August 29th with two solid performances against the Angels and the Athletics. He will try to get the Mariners one step closer to their wildcard goal with a win tonight.

 

Betting Analysis
The Angels have dropped five of their last six and their starter for this contest was originally slated to be Tyler Skaggs. But Tuesday night it was reported that Skaggs had experienced forearm tightness and he was replaced by spot starter and long reliever Jhoulys Chacin (4-6, 5.69, 1.55) for this one. At first blush, this looks like a slam dunk for the visitors with a white hot lineup opposed by a fast-fading Angel’s club already making vacation plans for the offseason.

However, the MLB odds makers have a tendency to make things interesting and the line on this one gives me cause for pause. Not because the return on the Angels is so delicious that I have to place a value bet on the home underdog but rather quite the opposite. Most of the best offshore books are dealing the Mariners between -130 to -145. That seems low against a team that has gotten crushed over the last two games by a combined 16-1 score.

A case can be made on the Angels tonight and here’s why. First off the Mariners’ starter Hisashi Iwakuma has been involved in three games with the Angels this season and all of them have been losses. In his last three starts, he has a 1-2 record and a 5.40 ERA and a 7-7 mark on the road this season with a 4.29 ERA. On the flip side, the Angels’ Chacin had been demoted back to the bullpen after a terrific start on August 21st when he blanked the Yankees over five-plus innings in a 2-0 victory for Los Angeles. His team has also won both starts he has made against Seattle and now he gets another crack at the starting rotation and I believe he can make it count.

Added to the mix is that the Mariners could very well be looking ahead to their, oh so important game against another wildcard contender in the Houston Astros on Friday night. Let’s eschew the square play and conventional wisdom as we back the home dogs here.

 

Free MLB Pick:  Angels +130
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes where you can get a 50% Free Play Bonus!
Swinger's MLB Record: 74-50, +21.18 units

 

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