Anderson Gives Arizona Edge Over Marlins In Thursday MLB Picks

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, August 14, 2014 4:20 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 14, 2014 4:20 PM UTC

This is an under the radar type of selection that many handicappers will bypass. The truth is that this game provides the best value on the board in an underdog role. After reading my analysis you will definitely agree that this selection warrants being at the Top of your Ticket. 

Arizona Diamondbacks (Anderson) vs. Miami Marlins (Penny) (-120) 7:10 ET

10* Arizona (+110)

For Thursday night action, play this game with confidence as we profit with the underdog money. A quick look at the standings indicates that Arizona remains the worst home team in the National League with a record of 25-39. On the road, however, their fortunes have been a bit more profitable. At 27-29 away, their road record is within the norm of the fact that road teams are winning 48% of the games in MLB this season. 

The Miami home field was the strongest in baseball in the early going. Well into the month of May, Miami stood 20-7 when playing games at home. Since that time, however, Miami is just 13-21 as a host. 

Today, they send Brad Penny to the mound. Penny is a 38 year old retread, who 5 days ago, made his first start in MLB in almost 3 years (September 2011). The result was a Miami 4-3 win vs. Cincinnati. A cursory glance shows that Penny emerged from that game with a 1.80 ERA. Closer inspection, however, shows that he allowed 8 base runners in 5 IP for a 1.60 WHIP. This is a red flag indicator that he may well struggle in future outings. 

We will far prefer lining up with C. Anderson. Arizona is 4-1 in his previous 5 starts. In those 31 innings of work, Anderson has allowed just 6 runs on 24 hits. Furthermore, his work in 5 road starts has been exemplary. Over a span of 27 IP on the road, Anderson has a 2.67 ERA. 

Anderson has made 1 start against Miami. He allowed just 1 run in 6 IP with an 8/2 KBB. Clearly, he is the superior starter in this matchup with his current form numbers and road ability, making the DBacks our MLB Pick for this evening's baseball.

One must note as well that Arizona has dominated the recent series between these two teams. Arizona leads the series by a count of 14-6, including winning 8/10 recent meetings on this field. When the puzzle fits together this nicely, we must consider Arizona as the value underdog of the day.
Free MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +113 at BetOnline

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