ALCS Game 3 Picks & Predictions for Orioles vs. Royals

Jeff Grant

Monday, October 13, 2014 11:58 AM GMT

Monday, Oct. 13, 2014 11:58 AM GMT

The Orioles and Royals are vying for a spot in the World Series, but umpire Joe West is the most important factor to consider when making your ALCS Game 3 picks tonight.

A Difficult Spot
Baltimore will try to be the first of 12 teams to drop the first two games of a best-of-seven series at home and still advance to the Fall Classic, as it landed in this position after suffering a pair of two-run losses at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Orioles went 3-4 against the Royals during the 2014 regular season, which is important to consider when making your MLB betting picks, but they do own a 121-112 all-time record in Kansas City.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise has produced a 128-88 mark when following a loss.

 

We’ve Got the Power
Kansas City has surprisingly out-homered Baltimore by a 4-1 margin in the first two games, which can’t be ignored when looking over the MLB odds, as the two sides ranked last and first respectively in those categories entering the playoffs.

Royals third baseman Mike Moustakas is making a run at being the most valuable player of the postseason to this point, as he’s become the first No. 9 hitter to leave the ballpark in four different affairs in a single postseason.

MLB handicappers will find that the club has gone 20-7 at home with a money line of -100 to -125, with the UNDER going 15-12 in that situation.

 

Chen
Orioles starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen didn’t earn a decision in a 7-6 win over the Detroit Tigers in Game 2 of the ALDS on Oct. 3, as he gave up five runs and seven hits over 3.2 innings of work.

The left-hander went 8-4 with a 3.33 ERA in 16 road games this year—serving up 12 long balls in 94.2 combined frames.

In six lifetime appearances versus the Royals, Chen has registered a 1-1 record and 4.17 ERA, including a 1-0 mark and 2.84 ERA in two outings at Kauffman Stadium.

 

Guthrie
Royals starting pitcher Jeremy Guthrie is expected to make his postseason debut in this matchup, as he also prepares to take the mound for the first time since Sept. 26.

The right-hander has faced his former club four times in his career—posting a 2-1 record and 2.67 ERA.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one their MLB picks, as the OVER has gone 21-9-2 with umpire Joe West behind home plate this year.

It’s important to point out that the weather forecasts suggest a 100 percent chance of rain throughout the night starting at 5 p.m. local time.

Free MLB Pick:  Over 7.5 at Pinnacle Sports

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