Afternoon Delight when Tribe & Tigers Go for Over the Total

Doug Upstone

Thursday, May 4, 2017 1:01 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 4, 2017 1:01 PM UTC

The start of the AL Central race has started like a traffic jam at 5:00 pm for all the contenders. One final contest between Cleveland and Detroit will not clear up this mess, but it brings a different view.

Last year Detroit missed the playoffs by three games, largely due to abysmal 4-14 record against Cleveland. With this still fresh in their minds, the Tigers have gotten off to a roaring 4-2 start against the Indians this campaign and will be looking for more this afternoon.


Pitching Matchup - Salazar vs. Fulmer

A few years ago, Danny Salazar (2-2, 4.34 ERA) was Cleveland's most prized pitching possession and they babied him along. Maybe they should have not done that since the now 27-year is a slightly above average 35-29 for his career. That is not to say Salazar has been a complete disappointment since he averages 1.13 strikeouts an inning, while permitting only 0.90 hits for every three outs produced. He's just never been close to the ace the Tribe thought they had. Salazar is 3-4 with 4.58 ERA in a dozen starts against Detroit.

To our knowledge, Michael Fulmer (2-1, 3.19) has no nickname outside the Tigers clubhouse, however, 'Mr. Matinee' might be a good fit since he and his teammates are 11-1 when he starts in day games. Fulmer's thicker body type makes him an unsuspecting hurler for mid to upper 90's fastball, which has excellent movement and he has a knee-buckling slider. Indians hitter's have been a problem for the right-hander with a high 6.98 ERA.


Both Teams have Pounded Right-Handed Pitching

With both starting pitchers throwing from the right side, we find that only Washington has averaged more runs per game against righty hurlers than these two clubs. The Indians come in at 5.9 runs per contest and the Tigers are right behind them (no pun intended) at 5.8 RPG.

Even as good as these starters are, we could see a lot of runs based on history and how each team has swung against these types of hurlers.

 Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers

Sportsbooks sent out Cleveland as a -140 money line favorite with total of 8 for MLB odds. Having taken two of three so far in the series, Detroit is 9-12 when the Tribe visit recently, with the OVER 12-9 in that timeframe. The Tigers bullpen is the worst in the AL with the highest ERA and five blown saves. The Indians is only 11th in ERA, yet is a 100 percent in saves chances. (8 for 8)


The Winner Is...

For MLB picks, passing on the side and will look at the total. As noted, both pitchers have not had much success against the opposing team. Seeing this series has three straight Under's, let's consider these ball-chucker's are 11-5 OVER combined against the other club and I will back OVER 8.

**CLE vs DET has been postponed due to rain. Make-up date TBD**Free MLB Play: Over 7.5Best Betting Line: at 5Dimes

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