Add Red-Hot Giants -141 Over Light Hitting Braves to Your Saturday's MLB Picks

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, May 30, 2015 1:50 PM GMT

Our resident MLB handicapping professional provides us with a betting preview on Saturday’s game between Atlanta and San Francisco and shares his free MLB pick for you to profit with.  

Braves and Giants on Saturday Night at AT&T Park
The Giants will host the Braves on Saturday at 10:05 PM ET. According to the MLB betting odds at BetOnline, San Francisco is a -141 money line favorite, and the posted total is 7.0. This will be the third of a four game series between these teams. San Francisco won each of the first two by scores of 7-0 on Thursday, and 4-2 last night. The Giants are now 11-4 overall and 7-2 at home versus Atlanta since 2013.

 

Starting Pitchers
The Braves Williams Perez will make his third start of the season tonight. The 24-year old right-hander has been impressive in his first two MLB career starts. In those outings he posted a 1.64 ERA and a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Although it must be noted, he pitched in just 5.0 and 6.0 innings during those outings. Taking that into account, there’s a high probability the Braves bullpen will be called upon this evening. That’s not good news for Perez since Braves relievers have been ineffective for the most part in 2015, evidenced by a cumulative 4.71 ERA, and an even worse 5.29 on the road. Perez began the season with the AAA Gwinnett Braves. He was 2-0 in five starts with Atlanta’s top minor league affiliate, and posted an excellent 1.33 ERA. Similar to his first two starts in the majors, he averaged only 5.4 innings pitched per outing for Gwinnett.

Tim Lincecum will be making his tenth start of the season tonight for the Giants. The veteran right-hander has been rejuvenated thus far in 2015, posting a stellar 2.56 ERA during his first nine starts. He’s been especially good at AT&T Park, going 4-1 in his five team starts, and compiling an excellent 1.12 ERA. Four of those five home starts have gone under the total. Since the start of the 2013 season, Lincecum has gone 4-0 under the total versus Atlanta, and posted a terrific 1.35 ERA.

 

Braves Bats remain Silent
The Atlanta Braves have really struggled offensively in recent games. They’ve managed just six hit or less in each of their previous four games, and scored a combined total of only five runs in those outings. As a matter of fact, Atlanta has scored three runs or less in each of the last eight, and ten of their previous eleven games.

 

Giants continue to Roll
The Giants enter tonight winners of five in a row, and are a sizzling hot 13-2 in their last fifteen games. Since the calendar turned to May, San Francisco has been an outstanding 21-7, and has also won six in a row at home. The Giants are averaging 5.4 runs per game, and hitting a very good .285 as a team during the previous seven contests.

 

Final Analysis
As I alluded to earlier, it’s very probable that the Braves bullpen will need to be relied on tonight, and I have little faith in that aspect of their game. The Giants are extremely difficult to fade right now and even more so at AT&T Park. I’m siding with the home favorite for one of my MLB picks on Saturday.

MLB Pick: Play San Francisco -141 on the money line over Atlanta at BetOnline.