Add Orioles +105 Over Blue Jays to Your Wednesday MLB Picks

David Lawrence

Wednesday, April 22, 2015 11:42 AM GMT

The Blue Jays smoked the Orioles 13-6 on Tuesday in an impressive offensive showing. However, their offense has been hit or miss. Can they cash again as favorites on MLB betting odds this Wednesday?

The Baltimore Orioles Can Win Because…
They have the better pitcher in this game, and their opponent struggles when it fails to score.

First, Toronto has gone through a very specific cycle in most of its last four series. The Jays usually score a lot when they win and get shut down in losses. Toronto scored six runs in two wins over the New York Yankees and scored three in its lone loss to the Pinstripes. The Jays scored double figures in runs when beating the Orioles in Baltimore, but scored only one run in a loss. The Jays beat Tampa Bay, 12-7, during a four-game series against the Rays, but they lost three games by scores of 4-2, 3-2, and 2-1. They beat Atlanta, 6-5, and lost, 5-2. The only real exception to these larger patterns this past weekend was an 8-7 loss to the Braves on Friday.

After losing two of three at home to Toronto, the Orioles have stabilized, winning four of seven against the Yankees and the Red Sox. Baltimore split a four-game series with Boston on the road this past weekend. In only one of those four games against Boston did Baltimore’s pitching staff allow more than three runs, and in that game – a 7-1 loss on Monday – the Orioles’ defense committed three errors, enabling the Red Sox to run wild. The ability of this pitching staff to regroup should be a source of great confidence for the team and manager Buck Showalter.

Since Toronto has problems winning low-scoring games, Baltimore has its ideal pitcher on the mound. Ubaldo Jimenez hasn’t given up an earned run yet this season, and he pitched seven shutout innings against Toronto in the first series of the season between these teams. If Toronto can’t get to Jimenez, it will have to win the kind of game it has rarely won this season – a low-scoring one. As an added advantage for the Orioles, Toronto pitcher Aaron Sanchez gave up three runs on seven hits in 3 1/3 versus Baltimore earlier in the season. This pitching matchup looks like a mismatch.

 

The Toronto Blue Jays Can Win Because…
They've been able to hit fairly consistently, and they might be getting one of their bigger bats into the swing of things after a sluggish start…just as we saw yesterday which is why the Blue Jays enter this game as favorites one more time on the MLB odds board.

Toronto has shown the ability to come back from a deficit, erasing a 3-0 Atlanta lead and beating the Braves, 6-5, last Saturday. Josh Donaldson, acquired from the Oakland Athletics, hit the game-winning home run in that contest, which could be just the thing to shake him loose from a slump in the first two weeks of the season. The Blue Jays’ impressive offensive performances against Baltimore suggest that they can get to the Orioles’ starting pitchers. Jimenez was the one pitcher they didn’t tag for a lot of hits, but having faced him, they might be able to get better swings on his pitches this time. Playing at home might help as well. Since Toronto has scored in double figures three different times this season, it’s obvious that this team can explode at any point in time.

 

Outlook
The Blue Jays might score some runs off Jimenez this time, but it’s the other starting pitcher who might decide this game. Aaron Sanchez is not a proven major leaguer and Baltimore should be able to rough him up once again. Take the Orioles with your MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Baltimore +105 at The Greek