Ace Up Your Sleeves: Which Pitching Matchups Give You an Edge Over MLB Oddsmakers Tonight?

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, June 9, 2015 5:47 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 9, 2015 5:47 PM UTC

Many novice bettors are still confused by the MLB betting odds showing runs lines. For them it is baffling group of numbers that make little sense. However, it is nothing more than a point spread with odds.

Long time MLB baseball handicappers remember this was the only way to bet baseball years ago when dealing exclusively with local bookies and it is still available if less popular at places like, who has next day guaranteed payouts no matter your methods of wagering on baseball.

Today in the big leagues let’s review three starting pitchers and let’s determine how they might perform against the run line.


Mariners vs. Indians: Kluber in Cleveland Beat the Number
Though not perfect, Corey Kluber (3-6, 3.61 ERA) continues to make head way after brutal start and is trying to help Cleveland fight their way back into the AL Central race, which has tightened up considerable. The reigning Cy Young winner has his dominant moments as witnessed by 59 strikeouts and three walks in 40 innings in his last five outings. One of those starts was a May 28th, a 5-3 win at Seattle in which he allowed three runs in seven innings and struck-out 13. The Indians right-hander has a 1.69 ERA in two career matchups against the Mariners.

His mound opponent Roenis Elias (2-3, 2.94) has not enjoyed the same kind of success with two losses to the Tribe with a 7.15 ERA. As you can tell by Elias earned run average, he been solid this season but Seattle is in a horrendous slump, losing eight of nine and being doubled up on the scoreboard 32-16.

The sportsbooks MLB odds on the RL have the Indians at +110 (-1.5) and with Kluber 20-9 on the RL if his team is off a loss and Seattle 4-15 after four or more consecutive home games, Cleveland looks like the play.


Cardinals vs. Rockies: Wacha is Reason Enough to Back STL
The St. Louis Cardinals after taking a four-game series in Los Angeles and having to travel late Sunday night were flat and crushed by Colorado 11-3 last evening. With Matt Holliday expected out with a right quadriceps strain, Michael Wacha (8-1, 2.18) will be called up to work his magic. The righty has led St. Louis to 10 wins in 11 of his starts and the Cards have won by an impressive 3.2 runs per game. As good as Wacha has shown, he’s been even mentally tougher and sharper on the road at 6-0 with a 1.59 ERA in seven road outings, with average margin of victory an overwhelming 4.2 RPG

The Rockies have been playing much better in winning 11 of 17 and will utilize the talents of Jorge De La Rosa (2-2, 6.15). Like many hurlers, Coors Field has not been kind to the left-hander who has an 8.44 ERA in five home starts this season and overall Colorado is only 12-17 in their own ballpark.

The RL has St. Louis at +135 (-1.5) and they are 12-5 versus a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits a start in this situation. In addition, the Redbirds have been taken all the down to -120 on the ML and when Wacha and the Cardinals are in the +125 to -125 range, they are 8-0, winning by 4.3 RPG making them a good choice for MLB picks.


Angels vs. Rays: Anaheim's Due for Breakout in Clearwater
The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim have lost five in a row, received terrible starting pitching and their hitting has been atrocious with the offense 6 for 39 with runners in scoring position. But a change in venue and starter Matt Shoemaker (3-4, 5.08) could be the difference for the Halos who are +150 (-1.5) on the run line.

Shoemaker and the Angels are 11-2 against an AL team with a batting average of .255 or lower and 15-3 if the run line range is (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160), which they fit into.

For sports picks, with the Angels ready to bust out and Tampa Bay 1-8 at home after seven or more consecutive road games last season, losing by 2.3 RPG, L.A. picks up nice pay day.

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