9/16 Wagering Edge Found in These Starting Pitchers

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, September 16, 2014 11:35 AM GMT

Our MLB specialist breaks down the betting odds on offer for the Blue Jays vs. Orioles and Reds vs. Cubs matches, focusing on the starting pitchers who hold the advantage over their competitors.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles
The Blue Jays starting pitcher tonight will be right-hander Drew Hutchinson. The good news for Hutchinson is that he enters tonight in terrific form over his last 4-starts, with an excellent 1.78 ERA, and a 0.95 WHIP. Hutchinson has also been brilliant in 4-starts versus the Orioles this season, posting a microscopic 0.98 ERA, and a compiling a better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The bad news is, Hutchinson has seen each of his last 6 road starts go over the total, and much of that responsibility falls on his shoulders as a result of his mammoth 7.48 ERA in those outings. 

Ubaldo Jimenez has been a huge disappointment for the Orioles this season. In 20-starts on the year, he’s gone a dismal 7-13 versus the money, posted a lofty 4.83 ERA, and all while pitching for a 1st place ball club. He’s been relegated to being a spot starter at this juncture of the season, and that certainly hasn’t improved his performance level. Jimenez has displayed horrible form over his past 3-starts, with a large 8.36 ERA, and a whopping 2.00 WHIP. The right-hander is 0-2 versus the Blue Jays this season with a 5.56 ERA and a terrible 1.77 WHIP

 

Advantage
I know that Drew Hutchinson has struggled mightily on the road over his last 6-starts, but it’s hard to ignore his eye popping numbers when facing the Orioles this season. It’s baffling that a team like the Orioles continues to exhibit the patience they’ve shown with the struggling Jimenez. My small betting edge lean goes to Hutchinson of the Jays over Jimenez of the Orioles in this starting pitcher matchup.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":286792, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

 

Reds vs. Cubs
There’s no avoiding the fact that the Reds starter Johnny Cueto has put together an absolutely terrific season. The veteran right-handed hard thrower has gone 20-11 against the money in 2014, with an exceptional 2.19 ERA, and a 0.96 WHIP. He’s also averaged just shy of 9-strikeouts per 9.0 innings pitched on the year. Cueto has gone 3-0 in his last 3-starts, with an excellent 1.17 ERA, and all 3 of those games went under the total. He’s seen just 11 of his 31-starts (35.5%) this season go over the total. The Reds hurler has accounted for 28.1% of the Cincinnati money line wins in 2014.

The Cubs won’t have any complaints at the conclusion this 2014 campaign with the production that Jake Arrieta has provided them with. He’s pitched much better than his 13-10 money line record indicates. In those 23-starts he posted an outstanding 2.82 ERA. He’s been dominating at Wrigley Field in 2014, going 7-3 versus the money, and with a super 1.83 ERA, and 0.91 WHIP. On a negative note, he’s been a bit unsteady over his last 3-starts, posting a lofty 4.96 ERA and 1.53 WHIP.

 

Advantage
My hat goes off to Jake Arrieta for the fine season he’s turned in while pitching for an awful team. However, considering the fact that the Reds have gone an impressive 37-14 versus the Cubs over the last 3-seasons, including 21-5 at Wrigley Field and that Johnny Cueto is having a CY Young type of campaign, my lean has to go the way of the Reds starter tonight. For one of today's free MLB Picks, I see the advantage in Johnny Cueto over Jake Arrieta and recommend you apply this insight at a trusted sportsbook like 5Dimes.[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":287443, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]