8/14 Betting Edge Found in Starting Pitchers Today

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, August 14, 2014 12:10 PM GMT

Can Robbie Ross come up big for the Rangers tonight versus the Rays after just being called up from the minors? Is Jorge De La Rosa undervalued at home, or is he just a victim of pitching for a bad team? Our sports betting expert shares his thoughts.

Tampa Bay Rays (Odorizzi) vs. Texas Rangers (Ross) 8:05 PM ET
The Rays starter Jake Odorizzi has gone 3-0 against the money in his last 3-starts on the road with a stellar 2.60 ERA. Odorizzi has one career start versus the Rangers and it came earlier this season. He was extremely good in that outing going 6.0 innings, allowing no earned runs, while walking 3, and giving up just 3-hits in an 8-1 win.

The Rangers starter Robbie Ross was just called up from the Rangers AAA affiliate in Round Round Rock, and will fill in for Yu Darvish who was placed on the 15-day DL just last night. Ross started the season with the Rangers and went 2-7 against the money in 9-starts with a 4.89 ERA in those outings. He last pitched for Texas in relief on June 16th at Oakland and was sent down to the minors shortly after. The southpaw went 4-4 at Round Rock this season with a lofty 5.10 ERA.

Advantage:  There’s a big difference when you go from the staff ace (Yu Darvish) to a rookie being called up in an emergency roll like Robbie Ross. Jake Odorizzi has been solid in his last 3-starts on the road and is the more polished of these two starters. The nod here goes to Odorizzi of the Rays over Ross of the Rangers. The MLB betting odds available from Pinnacle sports reflect this. 

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Cincinnati Reds (Simon) vs. Colorado Rockies (De La Rosa) 8:40 PM ET
The Reds starter Alfredo Simon started the season by going 15-3 against the money in his first 18-starts. Since then he’s gone 0-5 with an unimpressive 4.79 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. He started once against the Rockies in 2014, and that outing did nothing to boost his confidence heading into tonight. Simon allowed 5 earned runs on 8-hits, and the Rockies belted 3 home runs against him in just 3.0 innings of work. On a positive note, he’s gone an outstanding 9-3 against the money on the road this season, earning 7.20 MLB wagering units in the process, and has posted a very respectable 2.89 ERA in those appearances.

The Rockies starter Jorge De La Rosa has been as good as a starting pitcher can possibly be, when having to pitch home games at Coors Field in Denver. He’s gone 8-2 against the money at home in 2014 with a deceivingly good 3.39 ERA. On an even more positive note, the Rockies southpaw has gone 3-0 in his last 3 at Coors Field with a sparkling 1.86 ERA. His success at home for the Rockies goes beyond this season. The Colorado hurler has gone an unbelievable 17-2 against the money at Coors when the total is 8.5 to 10.0 over the last 2-seasons.

Advantage:  I think I’ve made it pretty clear how good Jorge De La Rosa has been at home over the past couple of seasons. Alfredo Simon has seemed to hit the proverbial wall, after being one of the biggest surprise pitchers in baseball through the first half of the season. I give the clear betting edge for MLB picks to De La Rosa over Simon in this one.

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