7/9 Pitching Report for MLB Bettors

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, July 9, 2014 11:49 AM GMT

Our MLB betting odds specialist analyzes a pair of premier starting pitching matchups on Wednesday. Read this informative piece to find out where the starting pitching edges are in these 2-games.

Houston Astros (Keuchel) vs. Texas Rangers (Darvish) 8:05 PM ET
The Astros starter Dallas Keuchel has been solid on the road this season going 6-3 versus the money line with a stellar 2.89 ERA. However, he’s displayed poor form over his last 3-starts posting a lofty 6.50 ERA and large 2.05 WHIP. On a positive note, the Astros southpaw hurler has allowed just 6 home runs in 108 2/3 innings this season, or 1 homer per 18.1 innings pitched. Keuchel allowed 3 home runs in his first 3-starts of the season, and just 3 more in his next 13-outings. The youngster’s whole body of work this season has been solid with all things considered (pitching for a last place team). He’s gone 9-7 against the money line in 2014 with a very good 3.06 ERA.

The Rangers starter Yu Darvish has been lights out at home this season going 6-2 against the money line with a superb 1.83 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Only 1 of those 8 home starts went over the total. Darvish has also been stingy in allowing the long ball to opponents this season. The Rangers right-hander has allowed only 8 home runs in 109 1/3 innings of work, or 1 home per 13.7 innings pitched. Darvish has seen 19 of his 25 starts stay under the total during the last 2-seasons when he’s a money line favorite of -110 or more. He’s gone a very profitable 6-1 in his career team starts versus Houston with a stellar 2.29 ERA and 0.75 WHIP.

Advantage: Dallas Keuchel faced the Rangers once this season and tossed a complete game 7-hit shutout. The Rangers Yu Darvish was dominant in his one start versus Houston this season pitching 8.0 innings of scoreless baseball, allowing just 1-hit, and struck out 9 while walking just 1. This is a much closer starting pitching matchup than the current money line indicates. I like this one to be a low scoring game dominated by both starting pitchers.

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San Francisco  Oakland A's (Hammel) vs. Giants (Cain)10:05 PM ET
The Giants starter Matt Cain has gone a dismal 0-5 in his last 5-starts against the money line with an unimpressive 5.58 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. Cain has seen 16 of his 22-starts go over the total during the past 2-seasons when facing an opponent with a winning record. The Giants have gone a terrible 4-10 versus the money line this season with Cain as their starter.

The A's counter with recently acquired Jason Hammel who will be making his first start with his club. The right-hander enters tonight in very good form off his last 3-starts (with the Cubs) posting a solid 2.79 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, and an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Pitching for a less than desirable Cubs team the right-hander managed to go a very respectable 10-7 versus the money line with an impressive 2.98 ERA, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Even more remarkable was the fact he was 8-2 versus the money line with the Cubs in 2014 when facing an opponent with a winning record.

Advantage: Huge edge to Jason Hammel over Matt Cain

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