7/10 Pitching Report for MLB Bettors

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, July 10, 2014 1:16 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 10, 2014 1:16 PM UTC

Our MLB betting odds analyst takes a look at a couple of starting pitching matchups for Thursday. Read what he has to say about who holds the edge, and apply that information in your sports handicapping for today.

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Oakland A’s (Kazmir) vs. San Francisco Giants (Hudson) 3:45 PM ET
The A’s starter Scott Kazmir has certainly rejuvenated his career in Oakland. The southpaw has gone a very profitable 14-4 against the money line this season with a sparkling 2.53 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. He’s been terrific in his starts this season during the day going a perfect 6-0 versus the money line, with an excellent 1.09 ERA, 0.57 WHIP, and an almost 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The only minor caution flag that comes up with the Oakland hurler is his home and away splits. In 8 home starts he’s posted a terrific 1.57 ERA, and in 10 road outings his ERA is 3.57.

The Giants starter Tim Hudson has gone 11-5 versus the money line this season, including 7-2 at home. As a matter of fact the Giants right-hander is 16-2 against the money line at home during the past 2-seasons. The right-hander seems to love pitching in July as evidenced by his 10-1 money line record over the last 3-seasons during that month. Hudson has given up only 6 home runs all season long, and allows just 1 per 18.9 innings pitched.

Advantage: I give a very slight edge to Tim Hudson over Scott Kazmir simply because of his dominance at home the last 2-seasons.

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Detroit Tigers (Smyly) vs. Kansas City Royals (Guthrie) 8:10 PM ET
The Tigers starter Drew Smyly has been horrible in his last 2-starts in losses versus the Rays and Astros. In those 2-outings the Tigers southpaw has posted a monster 10.56 ERA and a 2.35 WHIP. Smyly has gone a miserable 1-4 versus the money line in his last 5-starts on the road while posting a lofty 6.45 ERA and a large 2.06 WHIP. On a positive note the Tigers hurler has 4 career starts versus the Royals with all of those occurring since 2012, and he’s posted a terrific 1.38 ERA in those outings.

The Royals counter with veteran Jeremy Guthrie who comes off a bad start at Cleveland last Saturday. In that outing Guthrie allowed 6 earned runs on 11-hits while walking 2 in just 4.0 innings of work. The Royals right-hander has been solid in 9 home starts this season, posting a respectable 3.39 ERA, and 1.21 WHIP. Guthrie has gone 4-0 against the money line in his last 4 at home versus the Tigers with a decent 3.51 ERA.

Advantage: Neither of these starting pitchers has been particularly impressive in recent starts, nor does their whole body of work in 2014 depict overwhelming success. They will be facing lineups that have both had their hitting shoes on of late. I look for this one to be a higher scoring type of a game.

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