7/03 Pitching Report for MLB Bettors

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, July 3, 2014 2:17 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 3, 2014 2:17 PM UTC

Our MLB betting odds guru Ross Benjamin provides his daily MLB starting pitching report, and looks at 4 hurlers that will face each other on the Thursday card. Read this article to find out who holds the starting pitching advantage in each of these 2-games.

Tampa Bay Rays (Bedard) vs Detroit Tigers (Scherzer) 7:05 PM ET
The Rays starter Erik Bedard has been a bit shaky over his last 4-starts posting a lofty 5.76 ERA and allowed 4 home runs in just 20 1/3 innings of work. His vulnerability in giving up the long ball in recent starts certainly raises a red flag. Especially considering that he allowed just 3 home runs in 52 2/3 innings during his prior 5-starts. The Rays southpaw hurler has struggled in his last 3-starts on the road posting a large 8.04 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in those outings. Bedard is a dismal 0-12 versus the money line during the 2nd half of the schedule over the last 2-seasons. The Rays have lost those 12-games by an average of 4.0 runs per game.

The Tigers starter Max Scherzer hasn’t been anywhere near his top form over his last 8-starts. In those outings the Tigers right-hander has posted a sizable 5.87 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. He’s struggled in his last 3-starts at Comerica Park posting a large 9.18 ERA and 1.92 WHIP. On a positive note, Scherzer is 3-0 in his last 3 team starts versus the Rays with a stellar 2.70 ERA, and an outstanding 0.85 WHIP. The Tigers have gone an extremely profitable 38-14 the last 2 seasons when Scherzer is their starting pitcher, including 26-5 as a money line favorite of -150 or more, so they might be the better choice as your MLB betting pick.

Advantage: Slight edge to Max Scherzer

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 New York Yankees (Tanaka) vs Minnesota Twins (Hughes) 8:10 PM ET
The Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka has been brilliant in his first MLB season going 12-4 in his team starts with an excellent 2.10 ERA, a terrific 0.93 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. His one start versus the Twins this season came at home and it was a dominant performance. That outing took place on May 31st with the Yankees ace allowing 0 earned runs and 4-hits while striking out 9 during a 3-1 win. Tanaka has seen 5 of his last 6-starts stay under the total while posting a stellar 1.80 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. The Yankees hurler is 6-1 in his team starts on the road this season with a shade under an 11:1 strikeout to walk ratio in those 7 appearances.

The Twins starter Phil Hughes has been a pleasant surprise in his first season with his new club going 11-5 in his team starts, with a very good 3.58 ERA, and a solid 1.17 WHIP. The Twins right-hander has displayed impeccable control in 2014 walking just 10 men in 103.0 innings of work. His one career start versus his former team came on June 1st at Yankees Stadium, and he allowed 2 earned runs on just 3-hits in 8.0 innings during a 7-2 win. On a negative note, Hughes has struggled in his last 2-starts allowing 10 earned runs and 19-hits in 12 2/3 innings pitched. Back to the positive ledger he’s allowed just 1 home runs per 14.7 innings pitched this season.

Advantage: This one has all the ear marks of a low scoring affair, and I give the slimmest of edges to Masahiro Tanaka over Phil Hughes.

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